Wednesday, January 15, 2014

Box: A movie starring Kevin Hart, Liam Neeson, Melissa McCarthy and Channing Tatum would make, like, a bajillion dollars.

1. Ride Along - $26m / $26m / $75m
2. Lone Survivor - $21m / $72m / $130m
3. Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $17m / $17m / $50m
4. The Nut Job - $12m / $12m / $50m
5. Frozen - $9.5m / $330m / $360m
6. Devil's Due - $9m / $9m / $23m

This is all I'm doing today.  The rest of the top 10 will depend on how Oscar nominations go tomorrow so I'll be predicting them tomorrow.  Lone Survivor massively overperformed, and I guess my original hunch about it being in the Black Hawk Down / Zero Dark Thirty slot was right, but it'll outgross both of them.  Expect Oscar-friendly war films to get this slot from now on.  Though I feel as great as the film went over, perhaps if they opened it back in September, that would have allowed the money to speak a little louder and it to become a Best Picture nominee.  It's not like it would be the worst reviewed one since the expanded field change.  4 new movies open, with Ride Along looking to breakout.  Kevin Hart is on a huge roll, and this will continue that trend.  Jack Ryan will be held back by the overperformance of Lone Survivor and all the Oscar films getting the spotlight this week.  I think Paramount should have held the film until April or even a light weekend in late summer.  The Nut Job will do okay if audiences are tiring of Frozen, which it doesn't look like they are.  Devil's Due will probably do better than Hercules fared last week, but not much more. 

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