Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Recently Watched Movies (Jan 2026 - )

Send Help (Raimi, 2026) - B
Sometimes I Think About Dying (Lambert, 2024) - B
Dracula (Besson, 2026) - C
Fallen Leaves (Kaurismäki, 2023) - B+
Plainclothes (Emmi, 2025) - C+
Eephus (Lund, 2025) - B+
Blue Sun Palace (Tsang, 2025) - B+
Familiar Touch (Friedland, 2025) - B+
Chariots of Fire (Hudson, 1981) - B
The Mastermind (Reichardt, 2025) - B-
The Secret Agent (Mendonça, 2025) - B+
Swingers (Liman, 1996) - A-
On Golden Pond (Rydell, 1981) - B
The Plague (Polinger, 2025) - B+
Twinless (Sweeney, 2025) - A-
Shelter (Waugh, 2026) - C+
Grace of My Heart (Anders, 1996) - B-
Iron Lung (Markiplier, 2026) - C-
Labyrinth (Henson, 1986) - B
Basquiat (Schnabel, 1996) - B+
Boyz n the Hood (Singleton, 1991) - A-
Crank (Neveldine & Taylor, 2006) - C
The Baltimorons (Duplass, 2025) - B+
Mother (Brooks, 1996) - B+
A Room With a View (Ivory, 1986) - B
Gas Food Lodging (Anders, 1992) - B
Don't Let's Go To the Dogs Tonight (Davidtz, 2025) - C+
28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (DaCosta, 2026) - B
The Perfect Neighbor (Gandbhir, 2025) - B+
Mercy (Bekmambetov, 2026) - C-
Hamnet (Zhao, 2025) - B
Seance (Barrett, 2021) - C
Ash (Flying Lotus, 2025) - C
A Man For All Seasons (Zinnemann, 1966) - B-
Delicatessen (Caro & Jeunet, 1991) - B
Come See Me In the Good Light (White, 2025) - B+
Cimarron (Ruggles, 1931) - B-
Abraham's Boys (Kermani, 2025) - C-
Marathon Man (Schlesinger, 1976) - B-
The Lost Bus (Greengrass, 2025) - B
Eleanor the Great (Johansson, 2025) - B
The Fisher King (Gilliam, 1991) - B+
Queens of the Dead (Romero, 2025) - C
Blue Moon (Linklater, 2025) - B-
The Ugly Stepsister (Blichfeldt, 2025) - B
Greenland 2: Migration (Waugh, 2026) - C+
Spinal Tap II: The End Continues (Reiner, 2025) - C
She's Gotta Have It (Lee, 1986) - B+
Stripes (Reitman, 1981) - C+
Goodbye June (Winslet, 2025) - C
Stand By Me (Reiner, 1986) - B+
Popeye (Altman, 1980) - B
Relay (Mackenzie, 2025) - B
Eden (Howard, 2025) - B-
Beautiful Girls (Demme, 1996) - B+
Point Break (Bigelow, 1991) - B+
Bone Lake (Morgan, 2025) - B-
Wake Up Dead Man (Johnson, 2025) - B
I Was a Stranger (Andersen, 2026) - C+
The Housemaid (Feig, 2025) - C+
Primate (Roberts, 2026) - C+
Ballad of a Small Player (Berger, 2025) - C
Oh, Hi! (Brooks, 2025) - C
Army of the Dead (Snyder, 2021) - D+
Welcome to the Dollhouse (Solondz, 1996) - A
It Was Just An Accident (Panahi, 2025) - B
Manny & Lo (Krueger, 1996) - B-
Barton Fink (Coen, 1991) - B+
Circle of Friends (O'Connor, 1995) - B-
Sentimental Value (Trier, 2025) - B+
Marty Supreme (Safdie, 2025) - B
Train Dreams (Bentley, 2025) - B+
A House of Dynamite (Bigelow, 2025) - C+
Sorry, Baby (Victor, 2025) - B+
Bottoms (Seligman, 2023) - B
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain (Han & Vallade, 2025) - B+
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (Bronstein, 2025) - B+
Nouvelle Vague (Linklater, 2025) - B+
Frankenstein (del Toro, 2025) - B
KPop Demon Hunters (Appelhans & Kang, 2025) - B
Jay Kelly (Baumbach, 2025) - D+
JFK (Stone, 1991) - B+

This year I'm going to emphasize 1996 & 2001, two truly great years. The former is one of the best for American indies ever and there's quite a few I missed. Right now I've seen 60 Best Picture winners overall (61 if One Battle After Another or Sinners takes it in 2.5 months), so I'm trying to fill in as many blindspots for that as well. 

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

98th Oscars Luncheon!

I totally forgot they didn't have these last year because of the fires. 

Group photo:

Click for Large






Monday, February 9, 2026

Past Oscar Scores

2007: 
Top 8: 29/40 = 72.5%
Total: 65/99 = 65.7%
Winners: 13/24 = 54.2%

2008: 
Top 8: 29.5/40 = 73.8%
Total: 70.5/97 = 72.7%
Winners: 16/24 = 66.7%
(The .5 is about Kate Winslet in Lead Actress.)

2009: 
Top 8: 40/45 = 88.9%
Total: 82/106 = 77.4%
Winners: 18/24 = 75%

2010:
Top 8: 42/45 = 93.3%
Total: 86/106 = 81.9%
Winners: 17/24 = 70.3%

2011: 
Top 8: 37/44 = 84.1%
Total: 74/104 = 71.2%
Winners: 17/24 = 70.3%

2012:
Top 8: 36/44 = 81.8%
Total: 80/107 = 74.8%
Winners: 19/24 = 79.2%

2013: 
Top 8: 36/44 = 81.8%
Total: 79/107 = 73.8%
Winners: 22/24 = 91.7%

2014:
Top 8: 36/43 = 83.7%
Total: 84/106 = 79.2%
Winners: 18/24 = 75%

2015: 
Top 8: 36/43 = 83.7%
Total: 79/106 = 74.5%
Winners: 17/24 = 70.3%

2016: 
Top 8: 39/44 = 88.6%
Total: 89/107 = 83.2%
Winners: 16/24 = 66.7%

2017: 
Top 8: 39/44 = 88.6%
Total: 88/107 = 82.2%
Winners: 18/24 = 75%

2018:
Top 8: 35/43 = 81.4%
Total: 81/106 = 76.4%
Winners: 15/24 = 62.5%

2019:
Top 8: 41/44 = 93.2%
Total: 93/109 = 85.3%
Winners: 18/24 = 75%

2020:
Top 8: 35/43 = 81.4%
Total: 80/103 = 77.7%
Winners: 15/23 = 65.2%

2021:
Top 8: 35/45 = 77.8%
Total: 82/105 = 78.1%
Winners: 22/23 = 95.7%

2022:
Top 8: 37/45 = 82.2%
Total: 79/105 = 75.2%
Winners: 17/23 = 73.9%

2023:
Top 8: 41/45 = 91.1%
Total: 85/105 = 80.95%
Winners: 18/23 = 78.3%

2024:
Top 8: 39/45 = 86.7%
Total: 82/105 = 78.1%
Winners: 17/23 = 73.9%

2025:
Top 8: 41/45 = 91.1%
Total: 92/110 = 83.6%

So far...
Best Top 8 Score: 2010 - 93.3%
Worst Top 8 Score: 2007 - 72.5%
Best Total Score: 2019 - 85.3%
Worst Total Score: 2007 - 65.7%
Best Winners Score: 2021 - 95.7%
Worst Winners Score: 2007 - 54.2%

What the hell was wrong with me in 2007? That was the year of the writers' strike. 

Sunday, February 8, 2026

The 78th DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA Winners!

Theatrical Feature Film
Paul Thomas Anderson
One Battle After Another (Warner Bros. Pictures)

Michael Apted First-Time Theatrical Feature Film
Charlie Polinger
The Plague (IFC Films)

Documentary Film
Mstyslav Chernov
2000 Meters to Andriivka (PBS)



Wednesday, February 4, 2026

DGA Dix

 Announcing on Saturday.

Winner: Anderson
(alt: Coogler)

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

The 78th WRITERS GUILD OF AMERICA Nominations!

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Black Bag Written by David Koepp
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You Written by Mary Bronstein
Marty Supreme Written by Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
Sinners Written by Ryan Coogler
Weapons Written by Zach Cregger

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Bugonia Screenplay by Will Tracy, Based on the Film "Save the Green Planet" Written and Directed by Jang Joon Hwan and Produced by Sidus
Frankenstein Screenplay by Guillermo del Toro, Based on "Frankenstein; or The Modern Prometheus" by Mary Shelley
Hamnet Screenplay by Chloe Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell, Based on the Novel Written by Maggie O’Farrell
One Battle After Another Screenplay by Paul Thomas Anderson, Screen Story by Paul Thomas Anderson, Inspired by the novel "Vineland" by Thomas Pynchon
Train Dreams Screenplay by Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar, Based on the Novella by Denis Johnson

DOCUMENTARY SCREENPLAY
2,000 Meters to Andriivka Written by Mstyslav Chernov
Becoming Led Zeppelin Written by Bernard MacMahon & Allison McGourty
White with Fear Written by Andrew Goldberg

8/10. That Black Bag nom might be my favorite of the season! Criminally underappreciated movie this season!

The ACE EDDIES Nominations!

EDITED FEATURE FILM (Drama, Theatrical)
F1 – Stephen Mirrione, ACE
Hamnet – Chloé Zhao, ACE; Affonso Gonçalves, ACE
Sentimental Value – Olivier Bugge Coutté
Sinners – Michael P. Shawver
Weapons – Joe Murphy

BEST EDITED FEATURE FILM (Comedy, Theatrical)
Bugonia – Yorgos Mavropsaridis, ACE, BFE
Marty Supreme – Ronald Bronstein; Josh Safdie
One Battle After Another – Andy Jurgensen
Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery – Bob Ducsay, ACE
Wicked: For Good – Myron Kerstein, ACE

BEST EDITED ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Bad Guys 2 – Jesse Averna, ACE
KPop Demon Hunters – Nathan Schauf
Zootopia 2 – Jeremy Milton, ACE

BEST EDITED DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Becoming Led Zeppelin – Dan Gitlin
It’s Never Over, Jeff Buckley – Brian Kates, ACE; Stacy Goldate, ACE
John Candy: I Like Me – Shane Reid; Darrin Roberts
Ladies & Gentlemen… 50 Years of SNL Music – James Lester; Oz Rodríguez
The Perfect Neighbor – Viridiana Lieberman

The 79th BAFTA Nominations!

BEST FILM
HAMNET 
MARTY SUPREME 
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER 
SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
SINNERS 

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
28 YEARS LATER
THE BALLAD OF WALLIS ISLAND
BRIDGET JONES: MAD ABOUT THE BOY 
DIE MY LOVE 
H IS FOR HAWK 
HAMNET 
I SWEAR 
MR BURTON 
PILLION
STEVE 

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
THE CEREMONY Jack King (Director, Writer), Hollie Bryan (Producer), Lucy Meer (Producer)
MY FATHER’S SHADOW Akinola Davies Jr. (Director), Wale Davies (Writer)
PILLION Harry Lighton (Director, Writer)
A WANT IN HER Myrid Carten (Director)
WASTEMAN Cal McMau (Director), Hunter Andrews (Writer), Eoin Doran (Writer)

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT 
THE SECRET AGENT 
SENTIMENTAL VALUE 
SIRĀT
THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB

DOCUMENTARY
2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA 
APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS 
COVER-UP
MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR

ANIMATED FILM
ELIO
LITTLE AMÉLIE
ZOOTROPOLIS 2

CHILDREN’S & FAMILY FILM
ARCO
BOONG
LILO & STITCH
ZOOTROPOLIS 2

DIRECTOR                                                          
BUGONIA Yorgos Lanthimos
HAMNET Chloé Zhao
MARTY SUPREME Josh Safdie
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER Paul Thomas Anderson
SENTIMENTAL VALUE Joachim Trier
SINNERS Ryan Coogler

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
I SWEAR Kirk Jones
MARTY SUPREME Ronald Bronstein, Josh Safdie
THE SECRET AGENT Kleber Mendonça Filho
SENTIMENTAL VALUE Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier
SINNERS Ryan Coogler

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
THE BALLAD OF WALLIS ISLAND Tom Basden, Tim Key
BUGONIA Will Tracy
HAMNET Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER Paul Thomas Anderson
PILLION Harry Lighton

LEADING ACTRESS
JESSIE BUCKLEY Hamnet
ROSE BYRNE If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
KATE HUDSON Song Sung Blue
CHASE INFINITI One Battle After Another
RENATE REINSVE Sentimental Value
EMMA STONE Bugonia

LEADING ACTOR
ROBERT ARAMAYO I Swear
TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET Marty Supreme
LEONARDO DICAPRIO One Battle After Another
ETHAN HAWKE Blue Moon
MICHAEL B. JORDAN Sinners
JESSE PLEMONS Bugonia

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
ODESSA A’ZION Marty Supreme
INGA IBSDOTTER LILLEAAS Sentimental Value
WUNMI MOSAKU Sinners
CAREY MULLIGAN The Ballad of Wallis Island
TEYANA TAYLOR One Battle After Another
EMILY WATSON Hamnet

SUPPORTING ACTOR
BENICIO DEL TORO One Battle After Another
JACOB ELORDI Frankenstein
PAUL MESCAL Hamnet
PETER MULLAN I Swear
SEAN PENN One Battle After Another
STELLAN SKARSGÅRD Sentimental Value

CASTING
I SWEAR
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS

CINEMATOGRAPHY
FRANKENSTEIN
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
TRAIN DREAMS

EDITING
F1
A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS

COSTUME DESIGN
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
SINNERS
WICKED: FOR GOOD

MAKE UP & HAIR
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
SINNERS
WICKED: FOR GOOD

ORIGINAL SCORE
BUGONIA
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS

PRODUCTION DESIGN
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS

SOUND
F1
FRANKENSTEIN
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
WARFARE

SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
F1
FRANKENSTEIN
HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON
THE LOST BUS

BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION
CARDBOARD
SOLSTICE
TWO BLACK BOYS IN PARADISE

BRITISH SHORT FILM
MAGID / ZAFAR 
NOSTALGIE
TERENCE
THIS IS ENDOMETRIOSIS
WELCOME HOME FRECKLES

EE RISING STAR AWARD (voted for by the public)
ROBERT ARAMAYO
MILES CATON
CHASE INFINITI
ARCHIE MADEKWE
POSY STERLING


Ballad of Wallis Island! 28 Years Later! Jesse Plemons! But no Madigan - Boo! Mostly decent set. I Swear is being released this year from Sony Pictures Classics so I'm looking forward to seeing that.

Monday, January 26, 2026

WGA Dix

Tomorrow, the WGA, ACE, and BAFTA announce. I know ACE and WGA have announced after the Oscar noms a few times, but it's been awhile since BAFTA did it. (I think?) No idea if this will be a regular thing.

Original: A House of Dynamite, Jay Kelly, Marty, Sinners, Weapons
alt: If I Had Legs....

Adapted: Bugonia, Frankenstein, Hamnet, One Battle..., Train Dreams
alt: LOL no

Thursday, January 22, 2026

98th Reax

Picture: 10/10 (!)
Directing: 5/5
Actress: 4/5 (+alt)
Actor: 5/5
S. Actress: 4/5 
S. Actor: 4/5
O. Screenplay: 4/5
A. Screenplay: 5/5
Animated: 5/5
International: 5/5
Documentary: 2/5 (+alt)
Casting: 4/5
Cinematography: 5/5
Costume Design: 3/5 (+alt)
Film Editing: 4/5
Production Design: 4/5
Makeup: 3/5 (+alt)
Music - Score: 4/5
Music - Song: 4/5
Sound: 4/5 (+alt)
Visual Effects: 4/5

Top 8 = 41 / 45 = 91.1%
Overall = 92  / 110 = 83.6%

I really need to do an update of my score lists. Both those numbers are better than last year, but no idea where they fall overall. 

Sinners breaks the record with 16 Nominations! I'm not sure if that's a good or bad thing for it. Good because it proves what a legit contender it's always been, but bad because we know certain people are going to be like "Oh, a vampire musical got the most noms ever?" (Read that in an asshole Bill Maher voice to get it.) Happy for Delroy but that's another McAdams/JLC situation. Loving that a horror movie broke the record.

Sentimental also maxed out. I totally called in like 2010 that Elle would be the first Fanning sister to get an Oscar nom.

Paul Mescal is probably the acting snub of the morning. Wicked: For Good completely blanked. That makes me so happy. 

Sad for Jesse Plemons who gave one of my fave performances of the year. Stone got her 6th & 7th Oscar nom this morning. Bugonia's score nom is so deserved.

Ecstatic that Rose Byrne is finally an Academy Award nominee! She should have been nominated for both Paul Feig movies she did. 

I KNEW Hudson was happening. I think people really need to listen to what the industry is saying and they've been pushing her hard for the past month or so.

AMY FUCKING MADIGAN!!!! She now holds the record for longest gap between nominations for an actress - 40 years! And funnily enough, her first nom was for a film called Twice In a Lifetime.

Lewis Pullman looked so good this morning. 

The acting categories feature a vampire, alien, monster, and a witch.  HORROR RULES!

THE 98TH ACADEMY AWARDS NOMINATIONS!

 BEST PICTURE
BUGONIA
F1
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
THE SECRET AGENT
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS
TRAIN DREAMS

BEST DIRECTING
CHLOÉ ZHAO - HAMNET
JOSH SAFDIE - MARTY SUPREME
PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
JOACHIM TRIER - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
RYAN COOGLER - SINNERS

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET - MARTY SUPREME
LEONARDO DICAPRIO - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
ETHAN HAWKE - BLUE MOON
MICHAEL B. JORDAN - SINNERS
WAGNER MOURA - THE SECRET AGENT

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
JESSIE BUCKLEY - HAMNET
ROSE BYRNE - IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU
KATE HUDSON - SONG SUNG BLUE
RENATE REINSVE - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
EMMA STONE - BUGONIA

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
BENECIO DEL TORO - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
JACOB ELORDI - FRANKENSTEIN
DELROY LINDO - SINNERS
SEAN PENN - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
STELLAN SKARSGÅRD - SENTIMENTAL VALUE

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
ELLE FANNING - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
INGA IBSDOTTER LILLEAAS - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
AMY MADIGAN - WEAPONS
WUNMI MOSAKU - SINNERS
TEYANA TAYLOR - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER

BEST WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BLUE MOON
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
MARTY SUPREME
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS

BEST WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BUGONIA
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
TRAIN DREAMS

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
ARCO
ELIO
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
ZOOTOPIA 2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
THE ALABAMA SOLUTION
COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHT
MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
CUTTING THROUGH ROCKS

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
THE SECRET AGENT
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SIRĀT
THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB

BEST CASTING
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
THE SECRET AGENT
SINNERS

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
FRANKENSTEIN
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
TRAIN DREAMS

BEST FILM EDITING
F1
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
SINNERS

BEST FILM EDITING
F1
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
FRANKENSTEIN
KOKUHO
SINNERS
THE SMASHING MACHINE
THE UGLY STEPSISTER

BEST MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
BUGONIA
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS

BEST MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"DEAR ME" - DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS
"GOLDEN" - KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
"I LIED TO YOU" - SINNERS
"SWEET DREAMS OF JOY" - VIVA VERDI!
"TRAIN DREAMS" - TRAIN DREAMS

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS

BEST SOUND
F1
FRANKENSTEIN
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
SIRĀT

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
F1
JURASSIC WORLD: REBIRTH
THE LOST BUS
SINNERS

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
BUTTERFLY
FOREVER GREEN
THE GIRL WHO CRIED PEARLS
RETIREMENT PLAN
THE THREE SISTERS

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
BUTCHER'S STAIN
A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
JANE AUSTEN'S PERIOD DRAMA
THE SINGERS
TWO PEOPLE EXCHANING SALIVA

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM
ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
ARMED WITH ONLY A CAMERA
CHILDREN NO MORE
THE DEVIL IS BUSY
PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS

Monday, January 19, 2026

98th Oscar Predix

Announcing Thursday morning at 8:30AM Eastern by Danielle Brooks and Lewis Pullman. 

How much do they go for the foreign film performances after SAG ignored them? 3 foreign films in the Best Picture lineup? 3 horror movies in that lineup? (Yes, please!) Can Sinners break the nomination record? Are the tech categories just going to be the same 7-8 films over and over? Is One Battle going to be the first film in 49 years to get 5 acting nominations? Did I break the question mark key.

VISUAL EFFECTS
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
F1
THE LOST BUS
SINNERS
SUPERMAN
alt: Frankenstein

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
"Dear Me" - DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS
"Golden" - KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
"I Lied To You" - SINNERS
"Train Dreams" - TRAIN DREAMS
"The Girl In the Bubble" - WICKED: FOR GOOD
alt: "Last Time I Seen the Sun" - Sinners
Diane Warren making a documentary about herself to get another stupid nomination in the category feels like something Jenna from 30 Rock would do. Rooting for The Ballad of Wallis Island's song to get in!

MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
alt: F1

SOUND
AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
F1
FRANKENSTEIN
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
alt: Sirāt

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
FRANKENSTEIN
MARTY SUPREME
SINNERS
THE SMASHING MACHINE
WICKED: FOR GOOD
alt: The Ugly Stepsister
Haven't seen the alt yet, but would love if that got in. 

PRODUCTION DESIGN
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
SINNERS
WICKED: FOR GOOD
alt: Fantastic Four: First Steps

COSTUME DESIGN
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
HEDDA
SINNERS
WICKED: FOR GOOD
alt: Marty Supreme

FILM EDITING
F1
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
alt: Frankenstein

CINEMATOGRAPHY
FRANKENSTEIN
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
TRAIN DREAMS
alt: F1

CASTING
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
SINNERS
WEAPONS
alt: Wicked: For Good
The first of two categories being introduced over the next year. Hopefully, this ends up being more than just an Ensemble prize.

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
THE SECRET AGENT
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SIRĀT
THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB
alt: Left-Handed Girl
Congrats to those Neon movies!

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
COVER-UP
MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
MY UNDESIRABLE FRIENDS: PART 1 - LAST AIR IN MOSCOW
THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
alt: Come See Me In the Good Light

ANIMATED FEATURE
ARCO
ELIO
KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
ZOOTOPIA 2
alt: In Your Dreams

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BUGONIA
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
TRAIN DREAMS
alt: Wake Up Dead Man

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
MARTY SUPREME
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS
SORRY, BABY
alt: Weapons
Fifth slot is up for grabs. Julia Roberts' Golden Globe endorsement of Eva Victor might have helped put it over the edge.

SUPPORTING ACTOR
BENECIO DEL TORO - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
JACOB ELORDI - FRANKENSTEIN
PAUL MESCAL - HAMNET
SEAN PENN - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
STELLAN SKARSGÅRD - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
alt: Miles Caton - Sinners
I've said this has been the lineup for a few months now.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
ODESSA A'ZION - MARTY SUPREME
INGA IBSDOTTER LILLEAAS - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
AMY MADIGAN - WEAPONS
WUNMI MOSAKU - SINNERS
TEYANA TAYLOR - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
alt: Ariana Grande - Wicked: For Good
I really hope they don't nominate Ariana. 

LEADING ACTOR
TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET - MARTY SUPREME
LEONARDO DICAPRIO - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
ETHAN HAWKE - BLUE MOON
MICHAEL B. JORDAN - SINNERS
WAGNER MOURA - THE SECRET AGENT
alt: Jesse Plemons - Bugonia
I feel bad for Joel Edgerton. I'd love Jesse to get in, though. 

LEADING ACTRESS
JESSIE BUCKLEY - HAMNET
ROSE BYRNE - IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU
KATE HUDSON - SONG SUNG BLUE
CHASE INFINITI - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
RENATE REINSVE - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
alt: Emma Stone - Bugonia
Most are swapping Hudson for Stone, but I've been sticking with the Hawn spawn all season. She has a lot of industry support. I've never been sold on Chase, but the film just feels too big to miss.

DIRECTING
CHLOÉ ZHAO - HAMNET
JOSH SAFDIE - MARTY SUPREME
PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
JOACHIM TRIER - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
RYAN COOGLER - SINNERS
alt: Jafar Panahi - It Was Just An Accident
Oof, this one is tough. Accident's buzz has really died off over the past couple of weeks. I think Paul and Ryan are the only truly safe nominations. Zhao would be the first woman to return after winning. And then there's Del Toro with a film that has been inexplicably strong throughout the season.

PICTURE
BUGONIA
F1
FRANKENSTEIN
HAMNET
MARTY SUPREME
ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
THE SECRET AGENT
SENTIMENTAL VALUE
SINNERS
TRAIN DREAMS
alt: It Was Just An Accident
Top 5 would be Battle, Sinners, Hamnet, Marty & Frank. Then, Sentimental. Then, Bugonia, Then, Train Dreams. Then, about half a dozen movies vying for the last two lots. I went with F1 cause it feels like another Ford V Ferrari, and it feels like a good "average" voter choice.  Went with Agent because that Brazil contingent is very strong and loud. Among others to consider: Weapons, Avatar: Fire and Ash, Wicked: For Good.

Nom totals: 
Sinners - 15 (!!!!)
One Battle - 13
Marty - 11
Hamnet - 10
Frankenstein - 9
Sentimental - 7
F1 - 4
Train Dreams - 4
Wicked: For Good - 4
The Secret Agent - 3
Avatar: Fire and Ash, Bugonia, It Was Just An Accident, KPop Demon Hunters, Weapons - 2

Monday, January 12, 2026

The 83rd GOLDEN GLOBES Winners!

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA: HAMNET
BEST MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST DIRECTOR: PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST SCREENPLAY: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST ACTOR - DRAMA: WAGNER MOURA - THE SECRET AGENT
BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA: JESSIE BUCKLEY - HAMNET
BEST ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL: TIMOTHÉE CHALAMET - MARTY SUPREME
BEST ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL: ROSE BYRNE - IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: STELLAN SKARSGÅRD - SENTIMENTAL VALUE
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: TEYANA TAYLOR - ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST ANIMATED FILM: KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
BEST NON ENGLISH LANGUAGE FILM: THE SECRET AGENT
BEST SCORE: SINNERS
BEST SONG FROM A MOTION PICTURE: "GOLDEN" - KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
CINEMATIC AND BOX-OFFICE ACHIEVEMENT: SINNERS

BEST TELEVISION SERIES - DRAMA: THE PITT
BEST TELEVISION SERIES - COMEDY: THE STUDIO
BEST LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY, OR TV MOVIE: ADOLESCENCE
BEST ACTOR IN A SERIES - DRAMA: NOAH WYLE - THE PITT
BEST ACTRESS IN A SERIES - DRAMA: RHEA SEEHORN - PLURIBUS
BEST ACTOR IN A SERIES - COMEDY: SETH ROGEN - THE STUDIO
BEST ACTRESS IN A SERIES - COMEDY: JEAN SMART - HACKS
BEST ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY, OR TV MOVIE: STEPHEN GRAHAM - ADOLESCENCE
BEST ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES, ANTHOLOGY, OR TV MOVIE: MICHELLE WILLIAMS - DYING FOR SEX
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A SERIES : OWEN COOPER - ADOLESCENCE
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A SERIES: ERIN DOHERTY - ADOLESCENCE
BEST PERFORMANCE IN STAND-UP COMEDY: RICKY GERVAIS - MORTALITY
BEST PODCAST: GOOD HANG WITH AMY POEHLER

Film Score: 14/15
TV Score: 11/13 (+2 ALTS)
Overall: 25/28 = 89.3%
That has to be the best I ever did? This group changing its membership has the made the nominations and winners much more predictable.

As for the show, it was mostly solid. Glaser is terrific at this and is probably doing this many more times. No objections from me. 

The major issue was those fucking announcers - Kevin Frazer and Marc Malkin. Frazer did this last year and I complained about it then. They added Malkin, who is a terrible interviewer that the internet rightfully has daggers out for frequently. Just drop it. Also, the sports betting thing was terrible. Other than those two issues, it was fairly decent. Nothing too chaotic. Also, I'm pretty sure I heard every single pop sing of the past 20 years. Now That's What I Call Music: Golden Globes edition. They need to drop those stupid extra categories. 

I've pointed this out before, and it's an interesting thing to age and see actors who once were young take on the position of respected elder statesman. Man, did Julia Roberts get it tonight! Loved that standing ovation for her as she's still the type of once in a generation star that the industry wishes it could replicate. And her shouting out Eva Victor? How fucking cool was that? Ecstatic for Rose Byrne! Lovely speeches from PTA, too. Wanda Sykes wins presenter of the night. It seemed a lot more starry than usual. Considering that just three years ago about a quarter of the nominees didn't attend, they've made progress in that regard. I did not care for the red carpet copying the Met Gala stairs, though. 


Friday, January 9, 2026

Globe Predix!

They air Sunday evening at 8PM Eastern on CBS. Official red carpet begins an hour earlier, and E! does coverage starting at 6. Nikki Glaser hosts for the second year in a row. She did a great job last year, so looking forward to that.

TV: 

Podcast: Good Hang With Amy Poehler
(alt: Smartless)

Performance In Stand-Up: Brett Goldstein
(alt: Ricky Gervais)

Supporting Actor: Tillman
(alt: Cooper)

Supporting Actress: Doherty
(alt: O'Hara)

Actor - Limited/Anthology/Movie: Graham
(alt: Hunnam)

Actress - Limited/Anthology/Movie: Williams
(alt: Snook)

Actor - Comedy/Musical: Rogen
(alt: Powell)

Actress - Comedy/Musical: Smart
(alt: Ortega)

Actor - Drama: Wyle
(alt: Ruffalo)

Actress - Drama: Seehorn
(alt: Lower)

Limited Series/Anthology/Movie: Adolescence
(alt: Dying For Sex)

Series - Comedy/Musica: The Studio
(alt: Hacks)

Series - Drama: The Pitt
(alt: Pluribus)

MOVIES!

Cinematic and Box-Office Achievement: Sinners
(alt: Wicked: For Good)

Picture - Non-English Language: Sentimental Value
(alt: It Was Just An Accident)

Picture - Animated: KPop Demon Hunters
(alt: Zootopia 2)

Original Song: "Golden" - KPop Demon Hunters
(alt: "I Lied To You" - Sinners)

Original Score: Sinners
(alt: One Battle After Another)

Screenplay: One Battle After Another
(alt: It Was Just An Accident)

Supporting Actress: Teyana Taylor
(alt: Amy Madigan)
I'd say if Amy takes this, she's probably sweeping the season.

Supporting Actor: Stellan Skarsgård
(alt: Jacob Elordi)
Probably only Sandler doesn't have a chance. 

Actress - Comedy/Musical: Rose Byrne
(alt: Kate Hudson)

Actor - Comedy/Musical: Timothée Chalamet
(alt: Leonardo DiCaprio)

Actress - Drama: Jessie Buckley
(alt: Renate Reinsve)

Actor - Drama: Wagner Moura
(alt: Michael B. Jordan)

Director: Paul Thomas Anderson
(alt: Jafar Panahi)

Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical: One Battle After Another
(alt: Marty Supreme)

Motion Picture - Drama: Hamnet
(alt: Sinners)
I think Sinners taking that Box-Office award (which is inexplicably still a thing) probably sets up a Hamnet victory here. 

The 37th PRODUCERS GUILD OF AMERICA Nominations!

Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures
"Bugonia" 
"F1"
"Frankenstein"
"Hamnet"
"Marty Supreme"
"One Battle After Another"
"Sentimental Value"
"Sinners" 
"Train Dreams"
"Weapons"

Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
"The Bad Guys 2"
"Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle"
"Elio"
"KPop Demon Hunters"
"Zootopia 2"


I got 9/10, plus the alt. Happy to see Weapons in there, especially over mediocre blockbusters like the Avatar and Wicked sequels. 

Thursday, January 8, 2026

The 40th AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CINEMATOGRAPHERS

Theatrical Feature Film
Autumn Durald Arkapaw, ASC - Sinners
Michael Bauman - One Battle After Another
Darius Khondji, ASC, AFC - Marty Supreme
Dan Laustsen, ASC, DFF - Frankenstein
Adolpho Veloso, ABC, AIP - Train Dreams

Spotlight Award
Steven Breckon - The Plague
Mátyás Erdély, ASC, HSC - Orphan
Karl Walter Lindenlaub, ASC, BVK - Amrum

The 78th DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA Nominations!

Outstanding Directorial Achievement In Theatrical Feature Film
PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON - One Battle After Another
RYAN COOGLER - Sinners
GUILLERMO DEL TORO - Frankenstein
JOSH SAFDIE - Marty Supreme
CHLOÉ ZHAO - Hamnet

Michael Apted Award for First-Time Theatrical Feature Film
HASAN HADI - The President’s Cake
HARRY LIGHTON - Pillion
CHARLIE POLINGER - The Plague
ALEX RUSSELL - Lurker
EVA VICTOR - Sorry, Baby
 

Wednesday, January 7, 2026

SAG Reax; DGA & PGA Dix

I went 20/25. (Apparently, my record is 21.) So good job me. 

I completely forgot that they changed their name to The Actor Awards. Bleck!

So they did blank all the foreign stuff. That makes me certain none of these lineups will translate to the Oscars. 

Happy to see Plemons nominated as that's one of my favorite performances of the year. Grande is the only Wicked mention. One mention too many.

One Battle After Another broke the record for most nominated film - 7 noms total. If it does get those 5 acting nominations at the Oscars, it would be the first film in 49 years to do so. (The last was Network.)


DGA announces tomorrow: 

Anderson - Coogler - del Toro - Safdie - Zhao

alt: Trier


PGA Friday:

Bugonia - F1 - Frankenstein - Hamnet - Marty Supreme - One Battle After Another - Sentimental Value - Sinners - Train Dreams - Wicked: For Good
alt: Weapons