Saturday, January 15, 2011

Golden Globe Predix!

I'll do TV First:

TV -

Supporting Actor - All TV
Winner: Chris Colfer - Glee

Alternate: Eric Stonestreet - Modern Family
I think David Strathairn might be at an advantage given he's the only nominee here from a TV movie. But I think that Colfer makes the most sense, as he's Glee's best shot at a win. My own vote would probably go to Stonestreet. I'd love to vote for Colfer, but he - like a lot of the cast of Glee - is occasionally hindered by the uneven writing.

Supporting Actress - All TV
Winner: Sofia Vergara - Modern Family

Alternate: Jane Lynch - Glee
Like Colfer, Vergara has been a huge breakout star. Lynch should have won last year, and could take this. I'd vote for Sofia because of the Halloween episode and her hilarious "proper American accent."

Actress - TV Movie/Miniseries
Winner: Claire Danes - Temple Grandin

Alternate: Romola Garai - Emma
Danes will have this easy squeezie. I'm sure Jennifer Love Hewitt is very happy about her nomination playing a hooker.

Actor - TV Movie/Miniseries
Winner: Al Pacino - You Don't Know Jack

Alternate: Edgar Ramirez - Carlos
Originally, I went with Edgar. Carlos was extremely well reviewed and seems to have hit at the right time. But it's Al Pacino. As Jack Kevorkian.

TV Movie/Miniseries
Winner: The Pacific

Alternate: Carlos
The umpteenth WWII movie from Spielberg/Hanks, so I'll go with that. The only one here that won't win is Pillars of the Earth.

Actor - Comedy
Winner: Jim Parsons - The Big Bang Theory
Alternate: Steve Carell - The Office
I don't see anyone else being strong enough to take down Parsons. In the past, the Globes have (smartly) given CBS comedies the cold shoulder, so that could allow one of NBC's Thursday night boys to take it. In particlar, the one that is leaving soon.

Actress - Comedy
Winner: Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie

Alternate: Laura Linney - The Big C
Linney could easily get this, but her show was supposed to be terrible. Collette won last year so that gives Falco the edge.

TV - Comedy
Winner: Modern Family

Alternate: Glee
Keep in mind they gave Desperate Housewives a win during its maligned second season, so Glee could repeat. But I doubt it. At least I'm hoping Modern takes it.

Actor - Drama
Winner: Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad

Alternate: Steve Buscemi - Boardwalk Empire
The other three nominees have all won. Cranston winning everywhere else should give him the advantage.

Actress - Drama
Winner: Julianna Margulies - The Good Wife

Alternate: Katey Sagal - Sons of Anarchy
I think a few people predicted Elisabeth Moss. Julianna should repeat, no problems. I went with Katey as the alternate because it could be the much buzzed about performance that no other group honors, but the Globes do. I doubt Piper Perabo will win. LOL.

TV - Drama
Winner: Boardwalk Empire

Alternate: Mad Men
Scorsese's HBO hit should be the show that finally trumps Mad Men.


FILM!

Original Song
Winner: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque

Alternate: "I See the Light" - Tangled
I went with the Cher/Diana Warren ballad.

Original Score
Winner: Inception

Alternate: The Social Network
This allows them to give the megahit at least one win.

Foreign Language Film
Winner: Biutiful

Alternate: I Am Love
Go with the most famous title.

Animated Feature
Winner: Toy Story 3

Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon
I really didn't need to put an alternate, did I?

Supporting Actor
Winner: Christian Bale - The Fighter

Alternate: Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
Unless they get really sentimental and starfucky and give it to Douglas. But Bale should be a done deal.

Supporting Actress
Winner: Melissa Leo - The Fighter

Alternate: Amy Adams - The Fighter
Many of us awards predictors keep going back and forth on this category. Adams has two previous nominations here, and that's why I gave her the win at first. However, Leo seems to have been building buzz.

Screenplay
Winner: The Social Network

Alternate: The King's Speech
If they want to spread the wealth a bit, King's or Inception could take it. Wait, this is screenplay? No, Sorkin's winning. Sorry haters.

Actor - Comedy/Musical
Winner: Johnny Depp - Alice in Wonderland

Alternate: Paul Giamatti - Barney's Version
Or Gyllenhaal. Weird that this is Jake's first nom from the Globes? This category is such a joke. I honestly don't care. Anyways, Depp is supporting and Alice is a shitlog. I really can't believe Jim Carrey wasn't nominated?

Actress - Comedy/Musical
Winner: Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right

Alternate: Julianne Moore - The Kids Are All Right
Allow me a tangent: both Bening and Moore should be supporting as just about everyone in Kids has the same amount of screentime. It is possible that Moore could take this given Bening has won before and Julianne has been nominated many times but never won. I think its closer than people think. Personally, I'd give it to Emma Stone. But whatevs.

Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical
Winner: The Kids Are All Right

Alternate: Alice In Wonderland
The only reason I put an alternate here is because Avatar and The Hangover won last year. Ugh, remember that? Kids should take this in a cakewalk.

Director
Winner: David Fincher - The Social Network

Alternate: Christopher Nolan - Inception
I had Darren as the alternative, but I think they like to do splits here and Nolan made more sense? Fincher should be safe, though.

Actor - Drama
Winner: Colin Firth - The King's Speech

Alternate: James Franco - 127 Hours
Watch out for Jesse if Social goes over big. Colin will walk up onstage and be like DID I STUTTER?

Actress - Drama
Winner: Natalie Portman - Black Swan

Alternate: Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
J.Law is probably not far behind Kidman. SWEET GIRL is safe. It would be hilarious if Halle won. Given their noms this year, that wouldn't be a surprise.

Motion Picture - Drama
Winner: The Social Network

Alternate: The King's Speech
King is what they love: period, British and Harvey. If Social does win, it should be smooth sailing all the way to Oscar.

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