ANIMATED FEATURE:
BRAVE
FRANKENWEENIE
PARANORMAN
THE PIRATES! BAND OF MISFITS
WRECK-IT RALPH
Nominees I've Seen: All
Commentary: Brave is Pixar's worst reviewed nominated film since Cars. That film lost to Happy Feet back in '06. If it does pull off a victory, it's the power of Pixar and not the actual film. Wreck-It Ralph is the second highest grossing nominee and probably the best reviewed.
WILL WIN: WRECK-IT RALPH
I'D VOTE FOR: I want PARANORMAN to win so badly! How many films can claim to be animated, have zombies and a strong social message? Casey Affleck's character is one of my favorite characters this year.
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: I think there were two other films released this year that were animated - Madagascar 3 and Rise of the Guardians. Yeah, this lineup is fine.
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
AMOUR
KON-TIKI
NO
A ROYAL AFFAIR
WAR WITCH
Nominees I've Seen. Zero. Second year in a row I saw none of these prior to Oscar night.
Commentary: There's rumblings of a Kon-Tiki upset, and this category is known for knocking down frontrunners a little too easily. That said, Amour almost has too broad of support.
WILL WIN: AMOUR
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Oslo, August 31 - Strangely and sadly, there weren't too many foreign breakthroughs this year.
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:
5 BROKEN CAMERAS
THE GATEKEEPERS
HOW TO SURVIVE A PLAGUE
THE INVISIBLE WAR
SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN
Nominees I've Seen: Sugar Man, nothing else.
Commentary: Sugar Man is the highest grossing and the one that people seem to be most excited about. It helps here if the film is a crowdpleaser.
WILL WIN: SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: I think if Queen of Versailles had been nominated, it could have given Sugar Man a run for the win.
As for the Shorts, I'm going to predict...
SHORT FILM - DOCUMENTARY: INOCENTE
SHORT FILM - ANIMATED: PAPERMAN
SHORT FILM - LIVE ACTION: CURFEW
These are now open to all of the Academy to vote for. That should make things interesting. The only one I've seen is Paperman, which I loved. Maggie Simpson In 'The Longest Daycare' actually aired before Bob's Burgers last week, but I missed most of it.
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