Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Box: Transmorfers

1. Transformers: The Last Knight - $50m / $80m / $165m
2. Cars 3 - $30m / $105m / $165m
3. Wonder Woman - $25m / $318m / $370m
4. All Eyez on Me - $9m / $42m / $56m
5. The Mummy - $6.5m / $69.5m / $82m
6. 47 Meters Down - $6m / $22m / $34m
7. Pirates: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $5m / $159.5m / $170m
8. Captain Underpants - $4m / $65.5m / $74m
**Rough Night - $4m / $16m / $23m
10. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $3.5m / $380.5m / $388m

Transformers arrives the only wide opener this weekend. Horrible reviews aside, this franchise has run out of gas domestically but will be saved internationally. Much like Pirates. The Beguiled and The Big Sick open in limited, and hopefully both will break out. Anything over $15m would be great for both. Wonder Woman continues to slay, but will likely finish just shy of Guardians for the summer. Still a great run.

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Happy 50th, Nicole!

The one and only. Turning 50, her career is hotter than ever. A true legend whose filmography will be a gift to cinephiles for generations to come.

50 Ways To Celebrate Nicole Kidman's 50th Birthday

Thursday, June 15, 2017

Trailer: Detroit

Second (and much improved) trailer for Kathryn Bigelow's upcoming docudrama. The first trailer was slightly messy, but this one is very impressive.

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Box: The Book of Hardcore Henry

1. Cars 3 - $56m / $56m / $165m
2. Wonder Woman - $33m / $267m / $345m
3. All Eyez on Me - $18m / $18m / $38m
4. Rough Night - $15m / $15m / $44m
5. The Mummy - $13.5m / $57m / $84m
6. 47 Meters Down - $7m / $7m / $20m
7. Captain Underpants - $6.5m / $57m / $72m
8. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $5.5m / $147m / $159m
9. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 2 - $3.5m / $373m / $380m
10. It Comes At Night - $2m / $10.5m / $14m
***Baywatch - $2m / $55.5m / $59m
***Megan Leavey - $2m / $8m / $11m
***The Book of Henry - $1m / $1m / $3m

4 openers, and one in moderate. Cars 3 exists solely to sell merchandise. It's gross is almost irrelevant. Wonder Woman held strong last weekend, and should have a decent hold this weekend, too. It probably won't be enough to replace Guardians as summer's #1. All Eyez on Me will be very (very very) frontloaded, so even a successful weekend probably won't mean much after the fact. Rough Night had a low budget, but reviews are mixed and it probably needs strong word of mouth to breakout. It had potential. 47 Meters Down was leaked almost a year ago, so anything in the high single digits would be a win. The Book of Henry seems to be dumped. There's way too much similar movies right now. Not sure why some of these smaller movies couldn't have opened in May?

Wednesday, June 7, 2017

Box: Wonder Breadwinner

1. Wonder Woman - $49m / $198m / $300m
2. The Mummy - $35m / $35m / $95m
3. Captain Underpants - $13m / $45m / $74m
4. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men... - $10.5m / $136m / $160m
5. It Comes At Night - $7m / $7m / $19m
6. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $6m / $366m / $380m
7. Megan Leavey - $5m / $5m / $18m
8. Baywatch - $4.5m / $51m / $60m
9. Alien: Covenant - $1.5m / $71m / $74m
**Everything, Everything - $1.5m / $31.5m / $35m
**My Cousin Rachel - $1.5m / $1.5m / $5m

Wonder Woman did what it needed, and hopefully will be leggy from here on out. The Mummy kicks off the "Dark Universe" franchise with what looks to be a big whimper. It Comes At Night is A24's third (I think?) film to open wide immediately. Reviews are terrific, but it'll probably fall into that category of acclaimed horror that plays better with critics than audiences. Megan Leavey could turn into a little sleeper, but it probably won't have a strong enough opening. My Cousin Rachel opens in around 500 theaters. Reviews are decent and the film is being advertised in a mainstream way, so it might do ok.

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Box: Captain Woman Wonder Underpants

1. Wonder Woman - $110m / $110m / $325m
2. Captain Underpants - $34m / $34m / $100m
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $25m / $120m / $170m
4. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $9.5m / $355m / $376m
5. Baywatch - $8.5m / $42m / $60m
6. Alien: Covenant - $4m / $67m / $75m
7. Everything, Everything - $3m / $28m / $35m
8. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $2.5m / $19m / $24m
9. Snatched - $2m / $44.5m / $49m
10. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $1.5m / $37.5m / $40m
**3 Idiotas - $1.5m / $1.5m / $4.5m

Wonder Woman arrives to save the summer. Or at least the first part of it. Reviews are very good, enough that it's either going to break out this weekend or have terrific legs. We'll just have to see where it is as of Monday. Captain Underpants should do fine this weekend, but with Cars 2 arriving in 2 weeks and Despicable Me 3 2 weeks after that, it probably won't last. Outside of Guardians of the Galaxy, May was a dumpster fire. Everything either performed under expectations or outright bombed. Thank goodness we're in June.

Sunday, May 28, 2017

Trailer: Lucky Logan

This looks like the perfect late summer sleeper. Craig seems to be having a blast. Can't wait.

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Box: Bombwatch

3 day / Total So Far / Projected Final Gross

1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $62m / $62m / $165m
2. Baywatch - $28m / $33m / $80m
3. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $19.5m / $333m / $380m
4. Alien: Covenant - $16.5m / $64m / $94m
5. Everything, Everything - $6m / $21.5m / $35m
6. Snatched - $4.5m / $41m / $50m
7. Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $4m / $13m / $23m
8. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $4m / $35m / $44m
9. The Fate of the Furious - $2m / $223m / $227m
**The Boss Baby - $2m / $169m / $173m

With March the new May, May has really lost its luster. Hard to believe that Memorial Day Weekend used to be prime box-office real estate. Pirates is another sequel no one asked for and will hopefully be the last. Baywatch just looked awful from the first glimpse, and the reviews are among the worst of the year.

Save us, Wonder Woman!

Sunday, May 21, 2017

Trailers: "The Glass Castle" & "Patti Cake$"

Looking for "original" fare this summer? Here you go:

Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Box: I think I forgot everything about Prometheus except for the impromptu abortion.

1. Alien: Covenant - $46m / $46m / $115m
2. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $31m / $298m / $375m
3. Everything, Everything - $11m / $11m / $30m
4. Snatched - $9.5m / $35m / $56m
5. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $7m / $27.5m / $43m
6. Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $6m / $6m / $18m
7. The Boss Baby - $3.5m / $167m / $175m
8. The Fate of the Furious - $3m / $220m / $228m
9. Beauty and the Beast - $3m / $498.5m / $508m
10. Lowriders - $1.5m / $4.5m / $7.5m

Alien: Covenant arrives with a slick ad campaign hoping to make audiences reminiscent of the franchise's glory days and not Prometheus. It should do fine. Everything, Everything could be a small sleeper if the audience shows up. The Wimpy Kid franchise seems to be over, as the last one opened 5 years ago. They were actually solid little performers, but this gap is too big. King Arthur bombed as expected, while Snatched benefited from Mother's Day. May overall seems very light. Looking back, it really helps if an animated film opens this month. This weekend could have used one, as I'm not sure how well next week's openers will fare.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Trailer: Battle of the Sexes

This looks terrific! In particular, it really seems to have captured the era without fetishizing it. My only probably is I think this is a perfect film to be a late summer sleeper, so I'm not sure about the September release date. Also, "Academy Award Winner Emma Stone". Nice.

90th Oscars Set Host and Producers, Same as 89th!

Very smart move. I would have preferred Kate McKinnon to get the MC duty, but I doubt that happens as long as she is on NBC.

Jimmy Kimmel will return as host, while Michael De Luca and Jennifer Todd will return as producers. De Luca and Todd did a lot of smart things as producers, from opening with Justin Timberlake, to the actors paying tribute to actors, to making sure every category had clips. The only request I have is to try and make the show a little more A-list. Kimmel will be the first host since Billy Crystal to host two years in a row.  That was twenty years ago. Despite the low ratings of this year's show, the Best Picture flub gained more media and social media coverage than the show has seen in years. That could set up next year's show with some solid ratings to see how it's addressed. Will Warren and Faye be brought back?

The 90th Academy Awards will air on Sunday March 4th on ABC.

Wednesday, May 10, 2017

Box: Hot Pursuit 2

1. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $65m / $250m / $375m
2. Snatched - $20m / $20m / $60m
3. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $18m / $18m / $52m
4. The Fate of the Furious - $4.5m / $214.5m / $225m
**The Boss Baby - $4.5m / $160m / $170m
6. Beauty and the Beast - $3.5m / $492.5m / $500m
7. How To Be a Latin Lover - $3m / $25m / $33m
8. The Circle - $2m / $19m / $23m
9. Baahubali 2: The Conclusion - $1.5m / $19m / $23m
10. Gifted - $1m / $21m / $23.5m
***Lowriders - $1m / $1m / $2.5m

I'm predicting Snatched to outgross King Arthur. The latter film just has no need to exist and will probably be the biggest bomb of the summer. Just why? Lowriders and The Wall open in about 250-300 theaters each. I'm curious as to why The Wall didn't get a bigger push. John Cena and Doug Liman could open a movie if the studio had actually tried.

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Box: By the end of August, will we be more sick of Baby Groot or the Minions?

1. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - $145m / $145m / $375m
2. The Fate of the Furious - $8.5m / $207.5m / $230m
3. How To Be a Latin Lover - $6.5m / $22m / $39m
4. The Boss Baby - $5m / $155.5m / $170m
5. The Circle - $4m / $16m / $25m
**Beauty and the Beast - $4m / $486.5m / $500m
7. Baahubali 2: The Conclusion - $3m  / $15.5m / $22m
8. Going In Style - $2m / $40.5m / $45m
**Gifted - $2m / $19m / $24m
**Smurfs: The Lost Village - $2m / $41m / $45m

Summer is here. Last week, the surprise was How To Be A Latin Lover making it to #2, while Baahubali 2 made it to #3. The latter was only playing 425 theaters, but the tickets in some places were $30+. Wut. Anyways, Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol 2. opens Summer 2017. It'll probably be the season's highest grossing film.

Tuesday, May 2, 2017

Honest Trailers Does La La Land

Watch the whole video. It's one of their best.

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Box: Beauty and the Big Brother

1. The Fate of the Furious - $18m / $192m / $235m
2. The Circle - $12m / $12m / $35m
3. The Boss Baby - $9.5m / $149m / $173m
4. Beauty and the Beast - $7m / $480.5m / $500m
5. How To Be A Latin Lover - $5m / $5m / $15m
6. Going In Style - $3.5m / $37m / $45m
**Smurfs: The Lost Village - $3.5m / $38m / $46m
**Gifted - $3.5m / $16m / $25m
9. Born In China - $3m / $9.5m / $15m
10. Unforgettable - $2m / $8.5m / $13m
***The Promise - $2m / $7.5m / $12m
***Sleight - $2m / $2m / $5m

So everything that opened last weekend bombed. This'll help clear things up for Guardians next weekend. The Circle and How To Be A Latin Lover are the only 2 wide releases this weekend, while Sleight just barely missed the threshold. The Circle might do okay, not sure what the budget is. Latin Lover will try to prove that the Latino successes of the past couple of years can crossover. Kind of surprised Sleight isn't going fully wide. Reviews are decent, but the marketing is a little sloppy. It doesn't seem to know what kind of film it's selling. Still, advertising as from the creators of Get Out should help. Gifted is turning into the indie breakout of the spring. Looks like Beauty and the Beast will have enough energy, and enough of an assist from Guardians being double booked at drive-ins, to get to $500m domestic.

Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Box: Obsessed 2: The Revenge of Katherine Heigl

1. The Fate of the Furious - $40m / $166m / $240m
2. The Boss Baby - $10.5m / $134.5m / $160m
3. Beauty and the Beast - $8.5m / $469m / $492m
4. Unforgettable - $8m / $8m / $20m
5. The Promise - $5m / $5m / $15m
**Born In China - $5m / $5m / $18m
7. Smurfs: The Lost Village - $4m / $32.5m / $42m
**Going In Style - $4m / $30.5m / $40m
9. Gifted - $2.5m / $8.5m / $15m
10. Get Out - $2m / $170.5m / $175m
***The Lost City of Z - $2m / $2.2m / $7m
***Free Fire - $2m / $2m / $5m
***The Case For Christ - $2m / $11.5m / $16m
***Kong: Skull Island - $1.5m / $164m / $167m
***The Zookeeper's Wife - $1.5m / $13m / $17m
***Phoenix Forgotten - $1.5m / $1.5m / $3.5m

5 wide releases, and one expanding just below the threshold. All of them combined probably will make a little more than half of what Fate of the Furious will do. That film opened massively across the world, but underwhelmed a tad in the states. Doesn't matter at all. Katherine Heigl's Unforgettable looks like the typical Screen Gems early September garbage, but it probably won't even do numbers to rival those films. The Promise and Born In China are both vying for second of the newcomers, while A24's Free Fire probably should have opened in limited and then expanded. Phoenix Forgotten is getting an aggressive push for a movie that has barely been advertised. I'd be shocked if it makes the top 10. The Lost City of Z expands to 500 theaters, which is probably too aggressive. (Too aggressive might be the phrase of this hohum box-office week.) That film has terrific reviews, so maybe it'll do okay in the long run.

Wednesday, April 12, 2017

Box: The Fate of the Furries

3-day / Total So Far / Projected Final Gross

1. The Fate of the Furious - $100m / $100m / $245m
2. The Boss Baby - $16m / $117m / $160m
3. Beauty and the Beast - $14m / $455m / $490m
4. Smurfs: The Lost Village - $8m / $26.5m / $47m
5. Going In Style - $7m / $24.5m / $45m
6. Power Rangers - $3m / $81m / $88m
**Ghost In the Shell - $3m / $38m / $44m
**Kong: Skull Island - $3m / $161.5m / $169m
**Get Out - $3m / $167.5m / $175m
**The Case For Christ - $3m / $8.5m / $20m
11. Logan - $2.5m / $222m / $228m
***The Zookeeper's Wife - $2.5m / $11m / $18m
***Gifted - $2.5m / $3m / $7.5m

A pretty heated race for the bottom half of the top 10. 8 films will be within a million of each other. The Fate of the Furious opens. I think this will see a steep decline from the last installment, at least domestically. Overseas, it'll be an absolute beast.