SAG Predix!

Announcing Thursday, this might be the only real award show we get this year. *sigh*

Best Ensemble:
Atonement - Before the Devil Knows You're Dead - Into the Wild - Juno - No Country for Old Men
Alt: Hairspray
I think 3:10 To Yuma will surprise here, but I don't have the balls to predict it.

Male Actor - Leading:
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises
Denzel Washington - American Gangster
Alt: Frank Langella - Starting Out in the Evening

I think Actor is the category to watch this year. It reminds me of Best Actress 2003 where Theron, Keaton and Watts were locked in and the other 2 spots were up for grabs leading to the slighty-WTF nods for Castle-Hughes and Morton. I'd say Clooney, Day Lewis and Depp are safe. Mortensen keeps appearing and is getting closer to being safe. That last slot is up for grabs. I put Washington and will continue putting him in because he's a vet and there are no real other minorities present in the award season this year. Tom Hanks, maybe, depending on how well Charlie does at the box and with the remaining guilds. I also think one of the young hunks - James McAvoy, Ryan Gosling or Emile Hirsch - will pull the Samantha Morton surprise nod. McAvoy gets the edge being in a Best Picture vehicle. Gosling and Hirsch will no doubt be devastated for not filling the remaininig spot, but if they come to my house, I have two spots they can fill anytime. Such a perverted blog, I know.


Female Actor - Leading:
Amy Adams - Enchanted
Julie Christie - Away From Her
Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno
Alt: Jodie Foster - The Brave One
Christie, Cotillard, and Page are in. Adams feels right for here even if I think she may be snubbed Oscar morning. Jolie seems to have had a nice revival.

Male Actor - Supporting:
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James...
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
John Travolta - Hairspray
Alt: Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

Female Actor - Supporting:
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
Alt: Jennifer Garner - Juno
Let's hope SAG can get some steam rolling for Leslie Mann.