They are both Saturday evening. Critics Choice are tomorrow night, but I don't really cover them anymore. Sure, I still watch them...
DGA - Corbet
(alt: Audiard)
PGA - The Brutalist
(alt: A Complete Unknown)
PGA is a tough one. Emilia might have won prior to the past week or so of controversy. If Brutalist can pull off the win there, it's probably sailing to a Best Picture win. But Conclave also has a strong chance and feels like a compromise pick if Complete Unknown doesn't win over the more basics in in the industry.
I will say as someone who has followed award season for about 28 years, and religiously for about 23 of those, I've never seen a controversy like Karla's implosion. I have to wonder how much vetting studios will do for their stars going forward, and if there will be a backlash to the "backlash".
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