SAG & DGA Predix

They both announce on Wednesday. 

SAG

Male Actor in a Supporting Role:

Kieran Culkin - A Real Pain

Clarence Maclin - Sing Sing

Edward Norton - A Complete Unknown

Guy Pearce - The Brutalist

Denzel Washington - Gladiator II

alt: Yura Borisov - Anora

Or Jeremy Strong. 

Female Actor in a Supporting Role:

Ariana Grande - Wicked: Part 1

Felicity Jones - The Brutalist

Margaret Qualley - The Substance

Isabella Rossellini - Conclave

Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

alt: Selena Gomez - Emilia Pérez

Or Danielle Deadwyler. I think this is probably the Oscar lineup, but SAG might leave out Jones.

Male Actor in a Leading Role:

Adrien Brody - The Brutalist

Timothée Chalamet - A Complete Unknown

Colman Domingo - Sing Sing

Ralph Fiennes - Conclave

Sebastian Stan - The Apprentice

alt: Daniel Craig - Queer

Queer's buzz has really died off, and this seems like an org that would not take to it. Not sure about Hugh Grant or Jesse Eisenberg spoiling. 

Female Actor in a Leading Role:

Cynthia Erivo - Wicked: Part 1

Karla Sofia Gascón - Emilia Pérez

Nicole Kidman - Babygirl

Mikey Madison - Anora

Demi Moore - The Substance

alt: Angelina Jolie - Maria

I'd say everyone but Kidman is in, and there's a small handful vying for that last slot. 

Ensemble: 

Anora - Conclave - Emilia Pérez - Sing Sing - Wicked: Part 1

alt: A Complete Unknown

Seems weird to leave out Brutalist given I have it getting 3 noms, but that has happened a few times. 

DGA:

Jacques Audiard - Emilia Pérez

Sean Baker - Anora

Edward Berger - Conclave

Brady Corbet - The Brutalist

Jon M. Chu - Wicked: Part 1

alt: Coralie Fargeat - The Substance

Ugh at Chu probably making it, since I'm not totally buying Coralie. Could be James Mangold or Denis Villeneuve. RaMell Ross feels like someone who misses here but then shows up at the Oscars, but that film's buzz seems to have not taken off.