Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Box: I'm glad we're finally getting a sequel to that Shawn Ashmore-Emma Bell-Kevin Zegers ski lift movie

I'm doing this a little different. This will be more about predicting the weekend and less about the other figures.

Last weekend, Ford Vs. Ferrari had a very solid debut. The most notable aspect of its opening was the "A+" Cinemascore it earned. That shows it will likely have very good legs in the stacked weeks ahead. Charlie's Angels, as expected, bombed. Lots of people with theories as to why, but it was simply the umpteenth reboot no one asked for. The Good Liar didn't ride the wave of successful fall releases aimed at older audiences. The question is will that along with Ford's overperformance put a dent in this week's Mr. Rogers semi-biopic, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. I expect that to be a leggy run even if its opening isn't anywhere near Ford. The Chadwick Boseman thriller 21 Bridges is being predicted for low teens, which I think is too high. I'd be surprised if it breaks out of single digits. As for the "likely" #1, Frozen 2 is probably going to be fun to watch over the 10-day Thanksgiving period. I'm curious how close it will get to the first film's $400.7m domestic gross over that time frame. I think $300m+ is a good bet. Its final domestic total will fall between Finding Dory ($486m) and The Incredibles 2 ($609m).

1. Frozen 2 - $130m
2. Ford Vs. Ferrari - $18.8m
3. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood - $17m
4. 21 Bridges - $9m
5. Playing With Fire - $4.4m
6. Midway - $4.1m
7. Charlie's Angels - $3.6m
8. Last Christmas - $3.1m
9. The Good Liar - $2.7m
10. Doctor Sleep - $2.6m
***Joker - $2.6m

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