OSCAR PREDICTIONS (Part 1 of 4)

BEST SHORT FILM - ANIMATED: GET A HORSE
BEST SHORT FILM - LIVE ACTION: HELIUM
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: THE LADY IN NUMBER 6: MUSIC SAVED MY LIFE
With the shorts open to all members, I'm willing to bet the vast majority of votes go to what they think sounds the best.  Of the shorts nominated, I've only seen Get a Horse, which I loved.

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

THE ACT OF KILLING

CUTIE AND THE BOXER

DIRTY WARS

THE SQUARE

20 FEET FROM STARDOM

 

NOMINEES I'VE SEEN: 20 Feet, and will see The Act of Killing soon.

WILL WIN: 20 FEET FROM STARDOM, in a narrow victory over The Act of Killing

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: One of the rare instances where if something was nominated, it probably would have easily won: Sarah Polley's Stories We Tell.



 

 

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

THE BROKEN SOCIAL BREAKDOWN

THE GREAT BEAUTY

THE HUNT

THE MISSING PICTURE

OMAR

 

NOMINEES I'VE SEEN: None.  Will see The Hunt, The Great Beauty and The Broken Social Breakdown over the next month.  I'm slipping with my foreign films.

WILL WIN: THE GREAT BEAUTY

 

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

THE CROODS

DESPICABLE ME 2

ERNEST AND CELESTINE

FROZEN

THE WIND RISES

 

NOMINEES I'VE SEEN: Croods, Despicable and Frozen

WILL WIN: FROZEN

I'D VOTE FOR: Frozen

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Epic would have been a fine nominee.  Thank goodness 2014 looks much more promising for this category.  

 

 

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

GRAVITY

THE HOBBIT: THE DESOLATION OF SMAUG

IRON MAN 3

THE LONE RANGER

STAR TREK INTO DARKNESS

 

NOMINEES I'VE SEEN: All

WILL WIN: GRAVITY, no hesitation.

I'D VOTE FOR: GRAVITY, no hesitation.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Pacific Rim would have been more deserving than the non-Gravity/Hobbit nominees. 

 

 

BEST SOUND EDITING

ALL IS LOST

CAPTAIN PHILLIPS

GRAVITY

THE HOBBIT: THE DESOLATION OF SMAUG

LONE SURVIVOR

 

NOMINEES I'VE SEEN: All, stellar category!

WILL WIN: GRAVITY

I'D VOTE FOR: I think Gravity's strength is more in its mixing, so I'd be inclined to vote for All Is Lost.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: The almost forgotten Stoker was an impressive sonic achievement.  

 

 

BEST SOUND MIXING

CAPTAIN PHILLIPS

GRAVITY

THE HOBBIT: THE DESOLATION OF SMAUG

INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS

LONE SURVIVOR

 

NOMINEES I'VE SEEN: All except Llewyn Davis

WILL WIN: GRAVITY

I'D VOTE FOR: GRAVITY

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: I'll mention Stoker again and, for Mixing, add Spring Breakers.