OSCAR PREDICTIONS (4 of 4)

BEST PICTURE

12 YEARS A SLAVE

AMERICAN HUSTLE

CAPTAIN PHILLIPS

DALLAS BUYERS CLUB

GRAVITY

HER

NEBRASKA

PHILOMENA

THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

 

WILL WIN: American Hustle won the SAG and Globe in a week span, but then buzz immediately died when 12 Years a Slave and Gravity tied for the PGA.  12 Years has won the most picture awards, but little else.  That could mean there's not as much support for it, and the preferential balloting system the Academy employs could be a detriment to a movie some have refused to see.  Gravity has made a ton of money, and will emerge quite easily Sunday night with the most wins.  American Hustle is likely a distant third place, with Gravity and 12 Years duking it out in what will be a photo finish.  Many pundits have switched to predicting Gravity as the winner, but I'm still sticking it out and saying 12 YEARS A SLAVE will just barely take home the big prize. 

 

And now my personal ranking of the Best Picture nominees:

 

9. PHILOMENA

8. DALLAS BUYERS CLUB

7. CAPTAIN PHILLIPS

6. AMERICAN HUSTLE

5. 12 YEARS A SLAVE

4. NEBRASKA

3. THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

2. HER

 

I'D VOTE FOR:

1. GRAVITY

 

 

OSCAR PREDICTIONS - TL;DR

 

PICTURE - 12 YEARS A SLAVE

(alt - Gravity)

DIRECTING - ALFONSO CUARON - GRAVITY

(alt - Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave)

ACTOR - MATTHEW MCCONAUGHEY - DALLAS BUYERS CLUB

(alt - Chiwetel Ejifor - 12 Years a Slave)

ACTRESS - CATE PITSTAINS BLANCHETT - BLUE JASMINE

(alt - Amy Sideboob Adams - American Hustle)

SUPP. ACTOR - JARED LETO - DALLAS BUYERS CLUB

(alt - Barkhad Abdi - Captain Phillips)

SUPP. ACTRESS - LUPITA NYONG'O - 12 YEARS A SLAVE

(alt - Jennifer Lawrence - American Hustle)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - AMERICAN HUSTLE

(alt - Her)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - 12 YEARS A SLAVE

(alt - Philomena)

CINEMATOGRAPHY - GRAVITY

(alt - Prisoners)

FILM EDITING - GRAVITY

(alt - Captain Phillips)

COSTUME DESIGN - THE GREAT GATSBY

(alt - American Hustle)

PRODUCTION DESIGN - THE GREAT GATSBY

(alt - 12 Years a Slave)

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING - DALLAS BUYERS CLUB

(alt - Jackass Presents Bad Grandpa)

ORIGINAL SCORE - GRAVITY

(alt - Saving Mr. Banks)

ORIGINAL SONG - "LET IT GO" - FROZEN

(alt - "Happy" - Despicable Me 2)

SOUND MIXING - GRAVITY

(alt - Captain Phillips)

SOUND EDITING - GRAVITY

(alt - Captain Phillips)

VISUAL EFFECTS - GRAVITY

(alt - none HA!)

ANIMATED FEATURE - FROZEN

(alt - Despicable Me 2)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - 20 FEET FROM STARDOM

(alt - The Act of Killing)

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM - THE GREAT BEAUTY

(alt - The Hunt)

SHORT - ANIMATED - GET A HORSE

(alt - Mr. Hublot)

SHORT - LIVE ACTION - HELIUM

(alt - The Voorman Problem)

DOCUMENTARY SHORT - THE LADY IN NUMBER 6

(alt - Facing Fear)