Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Box: (insert Fire and Ice joke here)

1. FROZEN - $30m
Wow, did this ever overperform!  It'll be at almost $135m after this weekend, and with a decent Christmas bump it should get to $250m.  NICE!  It's only competition for the next month and a half is Walking With Dinosaurs, which I don't think is going anywhere.  Good job, Disney!

2. THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE - $28m
Just below $340m after this weekend factors in, it held on enough during the Thanksgiving break to give it a great chance at outgrossing the first.  I'm thinking $415m sounds about right.  Unlike Frozen, it will see some competition with Hobbit next week and the onslaught of Christmas releases. 

(Let us celebrate, as many have pointed out, that the top 2 moneymakers of this holiday season both feature women in the leads.  PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE TAKE NOTE, HOLLYWOOD!)

3. OUT OF THE FURNACE - $6m
This is tracking at $4m.  LOL.  I say it makes more just by being the only new release.  Brothers did okay in this slot 4 years ago, and that's probably the best comparison.  That film did $29m total, but I don't see this getting close.  Probably might have been smarter to release it in September and hope maybe it catched on with awards because it's going to get lost in the shuffle here.

4. THOR: THE DARK WORLD - $5m
This weekend gross gets it to $194m, so a finish just $210m looks likely as it will probably start losing significant amounts of screens next weekend.

5. THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY - $4m
$68.5m by Sunday night, and a finish of just under $80m is in store.

6. DELIVERY MAN - $3m
It no way turned into the mini-sleeper the studio wanted, and will end up with about $30m total. 

7. HOMEFRONT - $3m
Open Road really needs to start acquiring some better films if they want to stay in business.  This will barely gross more than $20m.

8. THE BOOK THIEF - $2.5m
This didn't do half bad over Thanksgiving, and might hold decently this week.  It probably isn't grossing more than $20m in the end, but I guess that's the most the studio can hope for with failed Oscarbait.

9. PHILOMENA - $2m
See #8, though Dench might still get a nomination.

10. BLACK NATIVITY - $2m
This went nowhere.  I'm actually shocked at how poorly it did?  Probably a $12m finish.

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