The Last Jedi has done solid if unspectacular business over the holidays. It's 3-day gross for the coming weekend should be about $65m. By Monday evening, the film will be at $555m. It's hard to predict where it's post-holiday legs will take it, but $700m isn't out of the question.
Jumanji: Welcome To the Jungle might be the big story of end of the year. It's already looking pretty leggy, so it should continue to play into the new year. $45m looks to be in the cards for this weekend, which would take it's total after New Year's Day $175m. If it continues to play, it can absolutely hit $275m, making this the start of new franchise for Sony.
Pitch Perfect 3 was very frontloaded last weekend, but has bounced back slightly. It probably won't hit $100m when all the numbers are counted, a total of about $90-95 looks right. For the 3-day weekend, it looks set for $17m.
The Greatest Showman probably got screwed out of being a hit because of mediocre reviews and too much competition. A domestic total of $70-75 is in the cards, while it's upcoming 3-day will be $14m.
Ferdinand and Coco haven't quite gotten the bumps family films get over the holidays probably due to Jumanji over-performing. Ferdinand will add another $11m over the 3-day and looks to hit $75-80m when it finishes. Coco will hit about $7.5m for the 3-day, not quite the bump most expected. It will probably finish just below $200m when it's run is done, which is below what most anticipated.
Mixed results for awards contenders in wide release. Downsizing has outright bombed, only adding another $5m this weekend taking it's total below $20m after this weekend. It probably won't even hit $30m. All the Money in the World, likewise, will add $5m and probably finish neck and neck with Downsizing. I'm not sure rushing this film out was a smart idea. Maybe a limited release over Christmas, followed by an expansion in January would have been smarter. On the flip side, The Darkest Hour has really impressed in its wide expansion. It'll add $4.5m for the 3-day, in under 900 theaters. It's domestic total after the long weekend will be at $19m. A domestic total of $35-40m could happen. It seems the market was really craving a historical biopic. The Shape of Water has also done solid business in its expansion. In just over 700 theaters, the film will get to over $3m for the 3-day, and a total of over $16m by Monday night. This one will likely go futher than Darkest because it'll potentially lead the Oscar nominations. $40-50m seems right, as of this writing. Lastly, Molly's Game has done very well since opening Christmas Day. In under 300 theaters, it'll get to just under $3m for the 4-day, bringing its cume to over $5.5m. It'll expand to 1,500 locations on the 5th. (Insidious: The Last Key is currently the only other scheduled opener that day.)
In just 9 theaters since Dec. 22, The Post has done very well for itself and will be under $2m by New Year's Day. It expands wide Jan. 12.
And finally there is Father Figures. By New Year's Day, it'll be at $13.5m total. It won't hit $20m domestic. This film was a giant waste of theater space that I'm sure every multiplex wishes they could've used for Jumanji or one of the awards films. Why would you bump a movie from January to December (back, not forward)? Future message to studios: don't dump movies over the Christmas holidays.
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