Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Thanksgiving Box-Office

Coco and Justice League will be neck and neck for the #1 position. Both look set for low to mid 40's for the 3-day. Coco will see a 5-day debut in the area of about $65m. Justice League's total after the holiday weekend will be around $175m. A huge disappointment, even with holiday legs it might not top $240m domestic.

Thor: Ragnarok will show off Chris's sexy legs with a 3-day in the high teens, around $17m, which would take it to about $275ish. It'll be able to cross $300m, but Justice League took a bite out of it.

Daddy's Home 2 and Murder on the Orient Express will experience very soft drops, perhaps even if a tad increase. Both should be at about $12m for the 3-day, which takes both to a total in the low 70's. From here on out, Daddy's Home 2 will probably have the better legs as more options for adults in the beginning of December will limit Murder. The animated film The Star had a very soft opening, and looks to hit only about $8-9m from Friday to Sunday. It will probably have light holds, so it might still be able to do about $50m total. Bad Moms Christmas will probably be even with last weekend, at about $7m. That would put it at $62m total, and a final gross in the area of $80-85m looks about right. Again, the holiday theme will keep the drops very light for the first weeks in December.

The Denzel Washington-starrer Roman J. Israel, Esq is also opening. It'll be one of Denzel's lowest performers with about $6-7m for the 3-day. It might not even hit $20m total.

I can't find final theater counts, but Lady Bird and Three Billboards... both add a significant amount. The former looks set for $3.5m while the latter is at $3m. Total for the A24 awards contender will be at $10.5 after the holiday weekend, while the Frances McDormand dramedy will be at $5.5m. Lady Bird looks set to be A24's highest grossing film assuming it's great word of mouth holds steady as it goes into wide release.

The real story of the weekend is Wonder. After a very solid $27m opening, it looks set to match that amount bringing its already leggy run up to $75m. From here on out, assuming its holds are light, a total of $150m+ looks in the cards.

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