Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Box: Taron Egerton going down

1. Deadpool - $26m / $281m / $335m
2. Gods of Egypt - $11m / $11m / $28m
3. Eddie the Eagle - $10m / $10m / $45m
4. Kung Fu Panda 3 - $8m / $127.5m / $148m
5. Triple 9 - $7m / $7m / $18m
6. Risen - $6.5m / $22.5m / $38m
7. The Witch - $4.5m / $16m / $28m
8. How To Be Single - $4.5m / $39m / $50m
**Race - $4.5m / $14.5m / $26m
10. The Revenant - $3m / $169.5m / $185m

Gods of Egypt looks like absolute shit. Triple 9 has very unfocused marketing, so neither of these films should be much of a factor. Eddie the Eagle has decent reviews and has been doing advance screenings like crazy. Word of mouth should be very good. The Witch, despite expected negative audience reactions, will end up being A24's highest grossing film. As far as the many thinkpieces about the film's chilly reception, an as someone who dealt with mainstream audiences for years, it's very simple: mainstream audiences are morons.

As for the Oscar films:

The Revenant will be just under $170m by the end of this weekend. With a Best Picture bump, it'll get to $185ish. That'll be enough to make it the second highest grossing Best Picture winner of this millennium.

Room is currently at about $12.7m. An actress win should allow it to get to about $15m. It comes to DVD/Blu on Tuesday, so that might deflate things.

Spotlight is $38.2m. It's already out on DVD/Blu and is probably looking at a Screenplay win only. $40m seems right.

The Big Short is at $67.2m. It'll get to $70m. A screenplay win won't take it much further.

Brooklyn is at $35.4m. It's probably the film that has most benefited from nominations as it has had a very nice bump in business throughout award season. It should end up with $38-39m.

The remaining three Best Picture nominees are all on DVD/Blu and are only in a handful of theaters.

No comments: