PGA/SAG predix

PGA on Saturday.

Predicted Winner: Lincoln
Alternate: Argo
Silver Linings has a chance as well.  If it does win, that could change the race in its favor.


SAG on Sunday.

Male Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
(alt: Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables)
I think that's set.

Female Actor: Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
(alt: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook)
Most are saying the opposite.  It would be something if Naomi wins.

Male Supporting Actor: Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook
(alt: Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln)
I'd say only Bardem has not shot here.  It took me a long while to remember he was the 5th nominee.  I went with De Niro because he's never won a SAG.

Female Supporting Actor: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
(alt: Sally Field - Lincoln)
Probably set.  I'd say if Field hadn't won for Brothers and Sisters, she'd have a better shot. 

Ensemble: Lincoln
(alt: Silver Linings Playbook)
Best Exotic Marigold has the smallest chance, almost zero.  It would be cool to see the vote totals as I would bet the other four are not that far apart. 

I'll predict TV too.

Male Actor - TV Movie/Miniseries: Kevin Costner - Hatfield & McCoy
(alt: Ed Harris - Game Change)
Female Actor - TV Movie/Miniseries: Julianne Moore - Game Change
(alt: Nicole Kidman - Hemingway & Gelhorn)
Male Actor - Drama: Damian Lewis - Homeland
(alt: Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad)
Female Actor - Drama: Claire Danes - Homeland
(alt: Jessica Lange - American Horror Story)
Ensemble - Drama: Downton Abbey
(alt: Homeland)
Male Actor - Comedy: Jim Parsons - Big Bang Theory
(alt: Louis CK - Louie)
Female Actor - Comedy: Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation
(alt: Betty White - Hot in Cleveland)
Ensemble - Comedy: Modern Family
(alt: Big Bang Theory)

Man, if Amy Poehler DOES NOT win, that would really fucking suck.  Falco and Fey already have wins, Vergara was better in previous seasons, and don't get me started on this group's ridiculous love for Betty White.