Friday, January 4, 2019

Globe Dix

This is a pretty crazy field.

My previous scores:
2018: 19/25 (+3 alts)
2017: 12/25 (+6 alts)
2016: 8/25 (+4 alts) LOL! That year was crazy.
2015: 11/25 (+8 alts)

I guess I'll probably be closer to the latter 3 than 2018.

TV!

Supporting Actress: Borstein - Clarkson - Cruz - Newton - Strahovski
WILL WIN: Penelope Cruz - Assassination of Gianni Versace
Because she's never won one of these.
Alt: I'm going with Clarkson, though Borstein could easily get it.

Supporting Actor: Arkin - Culkin - Ramirez - Whishaw - Winkler
WILL WIN: Henry Winkler - Barry
Alt: Edgar Ramirez

Actress - Limited Series: Adams - Arquette - Britton - Dern - King
WILL WIN: Amy Adams - Sharp Objects
Alt: Patricia Arquette, though King could win this round and Adams win the other.

Actor - Limited Series: Banderas - Bruhl - Criss - Cumberbatch - Grant
WILL WIN: Darren Criss - Assassination of Gianni Versace
Alt: Hugh Grant

Actress - Comedy/Musical: Bell - Bergen - Brie - Brosnahan - Messing
WILL WIN: Rachel Brosnahan - The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Alt: Kristen Bell, though Brie probably has a decent chance.

Actor - Comedy/Musical: Baron Cohen - Carrey - Douglas - Glover - Hader
WILL WIN: Bill Hader - Barry
Alt: Jim Carrey

Actress - Drama: Balfe - Moss - Oh - Roberts - Russell
WILL WIN: Sandra Oh - Killing Eve
Alt: Julia Roberts, but I think the hostess with the mostest should easily take this

Actor - Drama: Bateman - James - Madden - Porter - Rhys
WILL WIN: Stephan James - Homecoming
Alt: Billy Porter. But really anyone could win. This is a crapshoot.

Limited Series: Alienist - Gianni Versace - Escape at Dannemora - Sharp Objects - Very English Scandal
WILL WIN: Assassination of Gianni Versace
Alt: Sharp Objects

Series - Comedy/Musica: Barry - Good Place - Kidding - Kominsky - Mrs. Maisel
WILL WIN: Barry
Alt: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, but I think only Good Place has no shot.

Series - Drama: Americans - Bodyguard - Homecoming - Killing Eve - Pose
WILL WIN: Homecoming
Alt: Pose, but any of them could win.

MOVIES!

Foreign Film: Capernaum - Girl - Never Look Away - Roma - Shoplifters
WILL WIN: Roma
Alt: Shoplifters, but really no alt.

Animated Feature: Incredibles 2 - Isle of Dogs - Mirai - Ralph Breaks the Internet - Spider-Verse
WILL WIN: The Incredibles 2
Alt: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse. I think this race is probably pretty close, but it depends on how late Spider-Man's buzz peaked.

Original Song: "All the Stars" "Revelation" "Girl in the Movies" "Requiem For A Private War" "Shallow"
WILL WIN: "Shallow" - A Star Is Born
Alt: The Dolly Parton jam, but the Kendrick Lamar can't be counted out totally. This category has seen some surprises many times before.

Original Score: Black Panther - First Man - Isle of Dogs - Mary Poppins Returns - A Quiet Place
WILL WIN: Mary Poppins Returns
Alt: First Man

Supporting Actress: Adams - Foy - King - Stone - Weisz
WILL WIN: Regina King - If Beale Street Could Talk
Alt: Amy Adams
So I think the SAG snub was an anomaly because of screener issues, though I wouldn't be surprised if either Favourite surprises. It really helps that Amy will probably win in the TV category. Only Foy can probably safely enjoy her seat. SAG winner should be interesting.

Supporting Actor: Ali - Chalamet - Driver - Grant - Rockwell
WILL WIN: Mahershala Ali - Green Book
Alt: Richard E. Grant
This feels like a makeup win for giving Aaron Taylor-Johnson the win 2 years ago. LOL - remember that? I think if Grant does win, he could sweep the season. There's always Timmy, though.

Actress - Comedy/Musical: Blunt - Colman - Fisher - Theron - Wu
WILL WIN: Olivia Colman - The Favourite
Alt: Emily Blunt
It's a tight race between these two. Both have won before, both in Supporting Actress for TV.

Actor - Comedy/Musical: Bale - Miranda - Mortensen - Redford - Reilly
WILL WIN: Christian Bale - Vice
Alt: Viggo Mortensen
Bale should be easily ahead.

Actress - Drama: Close - Kidman - Gaga - McCarthy - Pike
WILL WIN: Lady Gaga - A Star Is Born
Alt: Glenn Close
Okay, I'm buying into the hype. I was going to go with Close, who I think will take SAG, but I'm going with Gaga.

Actor - Drama: Cooper - Dafoe - Hedges - Malek - Washington
WILL WIN: Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born
Alt: Rami Malek
Man, everyone has changed their predictions to Malek but I'm not budging yet. If he does win, can that start the backlash for that film?

Screenplay: Favourite - Green Book - If Beale Street Could Talk - Roma - Vice
WILL WIN: The Favourite
Alt: Vice
Any of them could win.

Director: Cooper - Cuaron - Farrelly - Lee - McKay
WILL WIN: Alfonso Cuaron - Roma
Alt: Bradley Cooper - A Star Is Born
Cuz if Rami wins actor, they gotta reward Bradley somewhere?

Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical: Crazy Rich Asians - Favourite - Green Book - Mary Poppins Returns - Vice
WILL WIN: Green Book
Alt: Vice
It's between those two and Favourite. Just spit-balling here.

Motion Picture - Drama: Black Panther - Blackkklansman - Bohemian Rhapsody - If Beale Street Could Talk - A Star Is Born
WILL WIN: A Star Is Born
Alt: Black Panther

And that's that.

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