1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocal
3-day: $34m / Projected Final Gross: $215m
2. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
3-day: $24m / Projected Final Gross: $190m
3. War Horse
3-day: $17.5m / Projected Final Gross: $100m
4. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked
3-day: $17m / Projected Final Gross: $140m
5. Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
3-day: $14.5m / Projected Final Gross: $90m
6. Adventures of Tin Tin
3-day: $12.5m / Projected Final Gross: $85m
7. We Bought a Zoo
3-day: $12m / Projected Final Gross: $75m
8. New Year's Eve
3-day: $4.5m / Projected Final Gross: $50m
9. The Darkest Hour
3-day: $3.5m / Projected Final Gross: $20m
10. The Descendants
3-day: $3m / Projected Final Gross: $80m
Tuesday, December 27, 2011
Friday, December 23, 2011
Raise Your Glass...
These are being run on television. It is looking like noms from PGA and WGA are in its future. But I really really really hope AMPAS will follow suit and give the film the nominations it deserves: Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress (x2) and Original Screenplay.
Thank you. Dessert wine is out.
Thank you. Dessert wine is out.
Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Box Office: Mara Christmas
This is a very tricky couple of days at the box-office. Three movies open on Wednesday, one on Friday and two on Saturday. Throw in that Christmas Day falls on a Sunday, and the day after will probably be the biggest day of the holidays. Rather than my typical estimates, I'm just going to do some rough ones.
All 3-day grosses are Friday through Sunday.
1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocal
The performance of this film in IMAX made everyone take notice. It seems sort of odd that this could be the highest grosser of December. But I guess that makes sense given the crazy box office year this has been.
3-day: $28 million
Projected Final Gross: $200 million
2. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The books and original Sweedish films were huge, and I've loved the way they've dealt with the dark subject matter in the advertising (the feel bad movie of Christmas!).
3-day: $24 million
Projected Final Gross: $150 million
3. Adventures of Tin Tin
The weekday performance of this for next week will be where it makes most of its money. It should be 3D-proof and be one of the few films people want to see in the format.
3-day: $20 million
Projected Final Gross: $115 million
4. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
A somewhat disappointing opening (called it!), but keep in mind last year's Tron: Legacy opened to the same amount and made about $170 million when all was said and done. An A- from Cinemascore is a big help, and if you don't like Tom Cruise, this is the only action picture in the market.
3-day: $19 million
Projected Final Gross: $175 million
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked
I think the opening for this is a bigger thud than Sherlock, but no one cares. In the end, this will still do enough for another installment. It is still quite a sharp dropoff from the last one.
3-day: $15 million
Projected Final Gross: $125 million
6. We Bought a Zoo
Fox has held numerous sneak peeks to build buzz for this, but in the end it'll be a modest performer at best. The family audiences that don't have pre-schoolers will probably be going to Tin Tin or the PG-13 fare.
3-day: $10 million
Projected Final Gross: $60 million
7. War Horse
People love horse movies and people love Spielberg-schmaltz. So win win? No names other than the director will only be a small challenge.
1-day: $5 million
Projected Final Gross: $100 million
8. New Year's Eve
This'll have a nice bump next weekend.
3-day: $3.5 million
Projected Final Gross: $50 million
9. The Darkest Hour
Terrible movies like this have an odd way of doing okay on Christmas Day. (See Black Christmas, Alien Vs. Predator: Requiem - better yet, don.t)
1-day: $3 million
Projected Final Gross: $25 million
10. Young Adult
There's about 5 or 6 movies that could land here, but I went with this one just cuz.
3-day: $2.5 million
Projected Final Gross: $20 million
The Artist also finally makes a significant expansion to 170-ish theatres. It'll be a good barometer of whether or not the film will connect with more mainstream audiences after a slightly sluggish start.
All 3-day grosses are Friday through Sunday.
1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocal
The performance of this film in IMAX made everyone take notice. It seems sort of odd that this could be the highest grosser of December. But I guess that makes sense given the crazy box office year this has been.
3-day: $28 million
Projected Final Gross: $200 million
2. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
The books and original Sweedish films were huge, and I've loved the way they've dealt with the dark subject matter in the advertising (the feel bad movie of Christmas!).
3-day: $24 million
Projected Final Gross: $150 million
3. Adventures of Tin Tin
The weekday performance of this for next week will be where it makes most of its money. It should be 3D-proof and be one of the few films people want to see in the format.
3-day: $20 million
Projected Final Gross: $115 million
4. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows
A somewhat disappointing opening (called it!), but keep in mind last year's Tron: Legacy opened to the same amount and made about $170 million when all was said and done. An A- from Cinemascore is a big help, and if you don't like Tom Cruise, this is the only action picture in the market.
3-day: $19 million
Projected Final Gross: $175 million
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked
I think the opening for this is a bigger thud than Sherlock, but no one cares. In the end, this will still do enough for another installment. It is still quite a sharp dropoff from the last one.
3-day: $15 million
Projected Final Gross: $125 million
6. We Bought a Zoo
Fox has held numerous sneak peeks to build buzz for this, but in the end it'll be a modest performer at best. The family audiences that don't have pre-schoolers will probably be going to Tin Tin or the PG-13 fare.
3-day: $10 million
Projected Final Gross: $60 million
7. War Horse
People love horse movies and people love Spielberg-schmaltz. So win win? No names other than the director will only be a small challenge.
1-day: $5 million
Projected Final Gross: $100 million
8. New Year's Eve
This'll have a nice bump next weekend.
3-day: $3.5 million
Projected Final Gross: $50 million
9. The Darkest Hour
Terrible movies like this have an odd way of doing okay on Christmas Day. (See Black Christmas, Alien Vs. Predator: Requiem - better yet, don.t)
1-day: $3 million
Projected Final Gross: $25 million
10. Young Adult
There's about 5 or 6 movies that could land here, but I went with this one just cuz.
3-day: $2.5 million
Projected Final Gross: $20 million
The Artist also finally makes a significant expansion to 170-ish theatres. It'll be a good barometer of whether or not the film will connect with more mainstream audiences after a slightly sluggish start.
Thursday, December 15, 2011
Globe Thoughts
Well, not as bad as the SAGs but far from good.
YAH! on another awards body other than the Emmys recognizing Amy Poehler.
BOO on Melissa McCarthy missing out where many thought she was a shoe-in. At least here. YAH ON KRISTEN WIIG!!!!
Mara-mania is, indeed, alive. But can she capture an Oscar nod?
Ides of March reeks of starfucking. It was all but dead. But I guess if they starfuck it should at least have decent reviews. Many are pissed Gosling got the nod for this and not Drive.
The Comedy/Musical categories don't suck this year!
The TV categories are pretty bad/bland. The Necessary Roughness chick? Does USA have to randomly get in somewhere now?
Sofia Vergara's pronounciation of everything this morning was epic. "Martin Scor-says". Rashida Jones looked nerdy elegant. Has she been hanging out with Zooey Deschanel a lot?
After seeing him on the Today show, Jean Dujardin is officially Darren Award Season Boyfriend 2011. He joins a long tradition of hot actors that are nominated for awards. Like Jeremy Renner.
I guess I need a girlfriend. Chastain maybe? I certainly ain't goin for no Albert Nobbs ladyfella.
YAH! on another awards body other than the Emmys recognizing Amy Poehler.
BOO on Melissa McCarthy missing out where many thought she was a shoe-in. At least here. YAH ON KRISTEN WIIG!!!!
Mara-mania is, indeed, alive. But can she capture an Oscar nod?
Ides of March reeks of starfucking. It was all but dead. But I guess if they starfuck it should at least have decent reviews. Many are pissed Gosling got the nod for this and not Drive.
The Comedy/Musical categories don't suck this year!
The TV categories are pretty bad/bland. The Necessary Roughness chick? Does USA have to randomly get in somewhere now?
Sofia Vergara's pronounciation of everything this morning was epic. "Martin Scor-says". Rashida Jones looked nerdy elegant. Has she been hanging out with Zooey Deschanel a lot?
After seeing him on the Today show, Jean Dujardin is officially Darren Award Season Boyfriend 2011. He joins a long tradition of hot actors that are nominated for awards. Like Jeremy Renner.
I guess I need a girlfriend. Chastain maybe? I certainly ain't goin for no Albert Nobbs ladyfella.
GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS!!!!
Best Picture - Drama
"The Descendants"
"The Help"
"Hugo"
"The Ides of March"
"Moneyball"
"War Horse"
Best Picture - Musical or Comedy
"The Artist"
"Bridesmaids"
"50/50"
"Midnight in Paris"
"My Week With Marilyn"
Best Director
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Alexander Payne, "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese, "Hugo"
George Clooney, "The Ides of March"
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Best Actor - Drama
George Clooney, "The Descendants"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "J. Edgar"
Michael Fassbender, "Shame"
Ryan Gosling, "The Ides of March"
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Best Actor - Musical or Comedy
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
Brendan Gleeson, "The Guard"
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "50/50"
Ryan Gosling, "Crazy, Stupid, Love."
Owen Wilson, "Midnight in Paris"
Best Actress - Drama
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Viola Davis, "The Help"
Rooney Mara, "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
Tilda Swinton, "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
Best Actress - Musical or Comedy
Jodie Foster, "Carnage"
Kristen Wiig, "Bridesmaids"
Charlize Theron, "Young Adult"
Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"
Kate Winslet, "Carnage"
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week With Marilyn"
Albert Brooks, "Drive"
Jonah Hill, "Moneyball"
Viggo Mortensen, "A Dangerous Method"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo, "The Artist"
Jessica Chastain, "The Help"
Janet McTeer, "Albert Nobbs"
Octavia Spencer, "The Help"
Shailene Woodley, "The Descendants"
Best Screenplay
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, "The Descendants"
George Clooney, Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon, "The Ides of March"
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian, "Moneyball"
Best Foreign Language Film
"The Flowers of War"
"In the Land of Blood and Honey"
"The Kid With a Bike"
"A Separation"
"The Skin I Live In"
Best Animated Feature
"The Adventures of Tintin"
"Arthur Christmas"
"Cars 2"
"Puss in Boots"
"Rango"
Best Original Score
Ludovic Bource, "The Artist"
Trent Reznor and Attivus Ross, "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo"
Howard Shore, "Hugo"
John Williams, "War Horse"
Abel Korzeniowski, "W.E."
Best Original Song
"Lay Your Head Down," "Albert Nobbs"
"Hello Hello," "Gnomeo and Juliet"
"The Living Proof," "The Help"
"The Keeper," "Machine Gun Preacher"
"Masterpiece," "W.E."
Best Television Series - Drama
American Horror Story
Boardwalk Empire
Boss
Game of Thrones
Homeland
Best Actor - Drama
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Kelsey Grammer, Boss
Jeremy Irons, The Borgias
Damian Lewis, Homeland
Best Actress - Drama
Claire Danes, Homeland
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Madeleine Stowe, Revenge
Callie Thorne, Necessary Roughness
Best Television Series - Comedy/Musical
Enlightened
Episodes
Glee
Modern Family
New Girl
Best Actor - Comedy/Musical
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
David Duchovny, Californication
Jonny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Thomas Jane, Hung
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Best Actress - Comedy/Musical
Laura Dern, Enlightened
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Best Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television
Cinema Verite
Downton Abbey
The Hour
Mildred Pierce
Too Big to Fail
Best Actor - Miniseries/Motion Picture Made for Television
Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
Idris Elba, Luther
William Hurt, Too Big to Fail
Bill Nighy, Page Eight
Dominic West, The Hour
Best Actress - Miniseries/Motion Picture Made for Television
Romola Garai, The Hour
Diane Lane, Cinema Verite
Elizabeth McGovern, Downton Abbey
Emily Watson, Appropriate Adult
Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Paul Giamatti, Too Big to Fail
Guy Pearce, Mildred Pierce
Tim Robbins, Cinema Verite
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Sofía Vergara, Modern Family
Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce
"The Descendants"
"The Help"
"Hugo"
"The Ides of March"
"Moneyball"
"War Horse"
Best Picture - Musical or Comedy
"The Artist"
"Bridesmaids"
"50/50"
"Midnight in Paris"
"My Week With Marilyn"
Best Director
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Alexander Payne, "The Descendants"
Martin Scorsese, "Hugo"
George Clooney, "The Ides of March"
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Best Actor - Drama
George Clooney, "The Descendants"
Leonardo DiCaprio, "J. Edgar"
Michael Fassbender, "Shame"
Ryan Gosling, "The Ides of March"
Brad Pitt, "Moneyball"
Best Actor - Musical or Comedy
Jean Dujardin, "The Artist"
Brendan Gleeson, "The Guard"
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, "50/50"
Ryan Gosling, "Crazy, Stupid, Love."
Owen Wilson, "Midnight in Paris"
Best Actress - Drama
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs"
Viola Davis, "The Help"
Rooney Mara, "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo"
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady"
Tilda Swinton, "We Need to Talk About Kevin"
Best Actress - Musical or Comedy
Jodie Foster, "Carnage"
Kristen Wiig, "Bridesmaids"
Charlize Theron, "Young Adult"
Michelle Williams, "My Week With Marilyn"
Kate Winslet, "Carnage"
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, "My Week With Marilyn"
Albert Brooks, "Drive"
Jonah Hill, "Moneyball"
Viggo Mortensen, "A Dangerous Method"
Christopher Plummer, "Beginners"
Best Supporting Actress
Berenice Bejo, "The Artist"
Jessica Chastain, "The Help"
Janet McTeer, "Albert Nobbs"
Octavia Spencer, "The Help"
Shailene Woodley, "The Descendants"
Best Screenplay
Michel Hazanavicius, "The Artist"
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, "The Descendants"
George Clooney, Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon, "The Ides of March"
Woody Allen, "Midnight in Paris"
Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian, "Moneyball"
Best Foreign Language Film
"The Flowers of War"
"In the Land of Blood and Honey"
"The Kid With a Bike"
"A Separation"
"The Skin I Live In"
Best Animated Feature
"The Adventures of Tintin"
"Arthur Christmas"
"Cars 2"
"Puss in Boots"
"Rango"
Best Original Score
Ludovic Bource, "The Artist"
Trent Reznor and Attivus Ross, "The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo"
Howard Shore, "Hugo"
John Williams, "War Horse"
Abel Korzeniowski, "W.E."
Best Original Song
"Lay Your Head Down," "Albert Nobbs"
"Hello Hello," "Gnomeo and Juliet"
"The Living Proof," "The Help"
"The Keeper," "Machine Gun Preacher"
"Masterpiece," "W.E."
Best Television Series - Drama
American Horror Story
Boardwalk Empire
Boss
Game of Thrones
Homeland
Best Actor - Drama
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Kelsey Grammer, Boss
Jeremy Irons, The Borgias
Damian Lewis, Homeland
Best Actress - Drama
Claire Danes, Homeland
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Madeleine Stowe, Revenge
Callie Thorne, Necessary Roughness
Best Television Series - Comedy/Musical
Enlightened
Episodes
Glee
Modern Family
New Girl
Best Actor - Comedy/Musical
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
David Duchovny, Californication
Jonny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Thomas Jane, Hung
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Best Actress - Comedy/Musical
Laura Dern, Enlightened
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Laura Linney, The Big C
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Best Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television
Cinema Verite
Downton Abbey
The Hour
Mildred Pierce
Too Big to Fail
Best Actor - Miniseries/Motion Picture Made for Television
Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
Idris Elba, Luther
William Hurt, Too Big to Fail
Bill Nighy, Page Eight
Dominic West, The Hour
Best Actress - Miniseries/Motion Picture Made for Television
Romola Garai, The Hour
Diane Lane, Cinema Verite
Elizabeth McGovern, Downton Abbey
Emily Watson, Appropriate Adult
Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Paul Giamatti, Too Big to Fail
Guy Pearce, Mildred Pierce
Tim Robbins, Cinema Verite
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Sofía Vergara, Modern Family
Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce
Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Globe dix
Come on, HFPA! Get rid of that dour feeling this morning gave me and make this award season even crazier! I know you can.
Announced in the morning by Gerard Butler, Woody Harrelson, Rashida Jones and Sofia Vergara.
FILM - DRAMA:
The Descendants - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close - The Help - Hugo - War Horse
Alt: Moneyball
No Guts, No Glory: Tree of Life
I think only Descendants and Hugo are totally safe. Beyond that, 6-7 films vying for the remaining slots. This could be Girl With the Dragon Tattoo's last shot at getting traction.
FILM - COMEDY/MUSICAL:
The Artist - Beginners - Bridesmaids - Carnage - Midnight In Paris
Alt: My Week With Marilyn
No Guts: Win Win
It is the comedy/musical category. It is totally random! Any film with an acting nominee could be present. I went with Carnage because it has stars. So does Muppets. LOL. Marilyn and Young Adult could sneak in here.
ACTOR - DRAMA:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Leondardo Dicaprio - J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender - Shame
Ryan Gosling - Drive
Brad Pitt - Moneyball
Alt: Gary Oldman - Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
No Guts: Michael Shannon - Take Shelter.
Probably one of the easier categories of the morning. Not entirely sold on Gosling as Oldman could replace him. I guess that Damian Behir guy could appear, but that feels like a SAG anomaly.
ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL:
Matt Damon - We Bought a Zoo
Jean Dujardin - The Arist
Paul Giamtti - Win Win
Joseph Gordon-Levitt - 50/50
Owen Wilson - Midnight in Paris
Alt: Christoph Waltz - Carnage
No Guts: Even after all the jokes last year, they starfuck Johnny Depp for Rum Diary or Pirates 4.
I expect the most random nomination to strike in this category. Brendan Gleeson (Guard), Paul Rudd (Our Idiot Brother), Ewan McGregor (Beginners), Steve Carell (Crazy Stupid Love), or Robert Downey Jr (Sherlock Holmes) are all possibilities.
ACTRESS - DRAMA:
Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis - The Help
Elizabeth Olsen - Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton - We Need To Talk About Kevin
Alt: Rooney Mara - Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
No Guts: Kirsten Dunst - Melancholia
Rooney and Elizabeth are battling it out for the fifth slot. Given the nature of the Globes, I thought this would be the only place Glenn Close would show up. Thanks, SAG.
ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL:
Berenice Bejo - The Arist
Charlize Theron - Young Adult
Kristen Wiig - Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet - Carnage
Alt: Cameron Diaz - Bad Teacher
No Guts: Jennifer Aniston - Horrible Bosses
If Julia Roberts happens here for Larry Crowne, that would almost be worse than anything this category produced last year.
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Kenneth Branagh - My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks - Drive
Patton Oswalt - Young Adult
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Max von Sydow - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Alt: Ben Kingsley - Hugo
No Guts: Kevin Spacey - Margin Call
This category is fucked. There's 10 or so potential nominees. Armie Hammer was at a recent HFPA event, so that would typically mean he's in. (Yes, that's about all it takes.)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shailene Woodley - The Descendants
Alt: Carey Mulligan - Shame
No Guts: Jessica gets 2 noms.
I really don't know about Redgrave. The type of release its getting never pays off, not for money or kudos. But, she's Vanessa Redgrave.
SCREENPLAY:
The Artist - The Descendants - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close - Midnight in Paris - Moneyball
Alt: Hugo
No Guts: Bridesmaids
Not much to say here. Dragon Tattoo is another candidate as they love their literary adaptations.
DIRECTING:
Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne - The Descendants
Martin Scorsese - Hugo
Steven Spielberg - War Horse
Alt: Stephen Daldry - Extremely Loud
No Guts: Angelina Jolie - In the Land of Blood and Honey
I feel better about Directing than Screenplay.
SCORE:
The Adventures of Tin Tin - The Artist - The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo - Hugo - War Horse
Alt: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
No Guts: Rango
Sure, why not? No idea.
SONG:
Albert Nobbs: "Lay Your Head Down"
Gnomeo and Juliet: "Hello, Hello"
The Help: "The Living Proof"
The Muppets: "Life's a Happy Song"
W.E.: "Masterpiece"
Alt: Winnie the Pooh: "So Long"
No Guts: a Footloose song
Yeah, a crapshoot.
ANIMATED FEATURE:
Adventures of Tin Tin - Kung Fu Panda 2 - Puss In Boots - Rango - Rio
As for TV, I'm hoping they recognize Happy Endings. And finally throw Amy Poehler a bone. Please be the opposite of SAG. They can't stop nominating The Closer.
Announced in the morning by Gerard Butler, Woody Harrelson, Rashida Jones and Sofia Vergara.
FILM - DRAMA:
The Descendants - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close - The Help - Hugo - War Horse
Alt: Moneyball
No Guts, No Glory: Tree of Life
I think only Descendants and Hugo are totally safe. Beyond that, 6-7 films vying for the remaining slots. This could be Girl With the Dragon Tattoo's last shot at getting traction.
FILM - COMEDY/MUSICAL:
The Artist - Beginners - Bridesmaids - Carnage - Midnight In Paris
Alt: My Week With Marilyn
No Guts: Win Win
It is the comedy/musical category. It is totally random! Any film with an acting nominee could be present. I went with Carnage because it has stars. So does Muppets. LOL. Marilyn and Young Adult could sneak in here.
ACTOR - DRAMA:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Leondardo Dicaprio - J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender - Shame
Ryan Gosling - Drive
Brad Pitt - Moneyball
Alt: Gary Oldman - Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
No Guts: Michael Shannon - Take Shelter.
Probably one of the easier categories of the morning. Not entirely sold on Gosling as Oldman could replace him. I guess that Damian Behir guy could appear, but that feels like a SAG anomaly.
ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL:
Matt Damon - We Bought a Zoo
Jean Dujardin - The Arist
Paul Giamtti - Win Win
Joseph Gordon-Levitt - 50/50
Owen Wilson - Midnight in Paris
Alt: Christoph Waltz - Carnage
No Guts: Even after all the jokes last year, they starfuck Johnny Depp for Rum Diary or Pirates 4.
I expect the most random nomination to strike in this category. Brendan Gleeson (Guard), Paul Rudd (Our Idiot Brother), Ewan McGregor (Beginners), Steve Carell (Crazy Stupid Love), or Robert Downey Jr (Sherlock Holmes) are all possibilities.
ACTRESS - DRAMA:
Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis - The Help
Elizabeth Olsen - Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton - We Need To Talk About Kevin
Alt: Rooney Mara - Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
No Guts: Kirsten Dunst - Melancholia
Rooney and Elizabeth are battling it out for the fifth slot. Given the nature of the Globes, I thought this would be the only place Glenn Close would show up. Thanks, SAG.
ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL:
Berenice Bejo - The Arist
Charlize Theron - Young Adult
Kristen Wiig - Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet - Carnage
Alt: Cameron Diaz - Bad Teacher
No Guts: Jennifer Aniston - Horrible Bosses
If Julia Roberts happens here for Larry Crowne, that would almost be worse than anything this category produced last year.
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Kenneth Branagh - My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks - Drive
Patton Oswalt - Young Adult
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Max von Sydow - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Alt: Ben Kingsley - Hugo
No Guts: Kevin Spacey - Margin Call
This category is fucked. There's 10 or so potential nominees. Armie Hammer was at a recent HFPA event, so that would typically mean he's in. (Yes, that's about all it takes.)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shailene Woodley - The Descendants
Alt: Carey Mulligan - Shame
No Guts: Jessica gets 2 noms.
I really don't know about Redgrave. The type of release its getting never pays off, not for money or kudos. But, she's Vanessa Redgrave.
SCREENPLAY:
The Artist - The Descendants - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close - Midnight in Paris - Moneyball
Alt: Hugo
No Guts: Bridesmaids
Not much to say here. Dragon Tattoo is another candidate as they love their literary adaptations.
DIRECTING:
Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne - The Descendants
Martin Scorsese - Hugo
Steven Spielberg - War Horse
Alt: Stephen Daldry - Extremely Loud
No Guts: Angelina Jolie - In the Land of Blood and Honey
I feel better about Directing than Screenplay.
SCORE:
The Adventures of Tin Tin - The Artist - The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo - Hugo - War Horse
Alt: Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
No Guts: Rango
Sure, why not? No idea.
SONG:
Albert Nobbs: "Lay Your Head Down"
Gnomeo and Juliet: "Hello, Hello"
The Help: "The Living Proof"
The Muppets: "Life's a Happy Song"
W.E.: "Masterpiece"
Alt: Winnie the Pooh: "So Long"
No Guts: a Footloose song
Yeah, a crapshoot.
ANIMATED FEATURE:
Adventures of Tin Tin - Kung Fu Panda 2 - Puss In Boots - Rango - Rio
As for TV, I'm hoping they recognize Happy Endings. And finally throw Amy Poehler a bone. Please be the opposite of SAG. They can't stop nominating The Closer.
Box: Charlize and the Sequels No One Asked For
1. Sherlock Holmes 2 - $44m / $44m / $170m
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks 3 - $32m / $32m / $165m
3. New Year's Eve - $7m / $24.5m / $48m
4. Mission Impossible 4 - $6m / $6m / $150m
5. Young Adult - $5.5m / $6m / $28m
6. Arthur Christmas - $4.5m / $39.5m / $54m
The Sitter - $4.5m / $18m / $32m
8. The Descendants - $4m / $29.5m / $80m
Breaking Dawn - $4m / $266m / $282m
Hugo - $4m / $39.5m / $65m
The Muppets - $4m / $71m / $90m
MI4 makes the top 5 by just being in a couple hundred IMAX theatres. Ugh, despite the talent I really have no desire to see Sherlock 2. I do think the reception to the first film wasn't as warm as the studio thinks and this will gross less. Hey, the original Lisbeth Salendar is in it! As far Alvin, well, it'll do enough to ensure another installment in 2 years.
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks 3 - $32m / $32m / $165m
3. New Year's Eve - $7m / $24.5m / $48m
4. Mission Impossible 4 - $6m / $6m / $150m
5. Young Adult - $5.5m / $6m / $28m
6. Arthur Christmas - $4.5m / $39.5m / $54m
The Sitter - $4.5m / $18m / $32m
8. The Descendants - $4m / $29.5m / $80m
Breaking Dawn - $4m / $266m / $282m
Hugo - $4m / $39.5m / $65m
The Muppets - $4m / $71m / $90m
MI4 makes the top 5 by just being in a couple hundred IMAX theatres. Ugh, despite the talent I really have no desire to see Sherlock 2. I do think the reception to the first film wasn't as warm as the studio thinks and this will gross less. Hey, the original Lisbeth Salendar is in it! As far Alvin, well, it'll do enough to ensure another installment in 2 years.
SAG Nom Thoughts
LOL REALLY??
Well, that keeps things interesting at least.
These are awful, probably the worst SAG has ever done. They resurrected some long dead people and totally ignored some people who were popping up everywhere.
The biggest snub of the morning was probably Shailene Woodley as after The Help ladies she was the closest lock in the supporting category.
The biggest surprise of the morning was probably Demian Bechir, but even he had his supporters. So Jonah Hill? Armie Hammer? Albert Nobbs not being dead?
Ensemble is the safest category, and really not that bad of a selection. What's refreshing is that none of the nominees are totally serious.
Suck it haters. Melissa McCarthy is happening.
Emma Stone AND Rachel McAdams became SAG nominees!
As for the television categories, they are just awful. AWFUL AWFUL AWFUL. Not "fun awful" like the film categories, just offensive awful. It seems to take three to four years for a show to break in, then they never stop nominating you. Poor Amy Poehler.
Bleh. I'm kinda glad Globes are after SAG this year. Come on crazy HFPA, get this bad taste out of my mouth.
Well, that keeps things interesting at least.
These are awful, probably the worst SAG has ever done. They resurrected some long dead people and totally ignored some people who were popping up everywhere.
The biggest snub of the morning was probably Shailene Woodley as after The Help ladies she was the closest lock in the supporting category.
The biggest surprise of the morning was probably Demian Bechir, but even he had his supporters. So Jonah Hill? Armie Hammer? Albert Nobbs not being dead?
Ensemble is the safest category, and really not that bad of a selection. What's refreshing is that none of the nominees are totally serious.
Suck it haters. Melissa McCarthy is happening.
Emma Stone AND Rachel McAdams became SAG nominees!
As for the television categories, they are just awful. AWFUL AWFUL AWFUL. Not "fun awful" like the film categories, just offensive awful. It seems to take three to four years for a show to break in, then they never stop nominating you. Poor Amy Poehler.
Bleh. I'm kinda glad Globes are after SAG this year. Come on crazy HFPA, get this bad taste out of my mouth.
SCREEN ACTORS GUILD NOMINEES!
FILM:
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
DEMIÁN BICHIR / Carlos Galindo - “A BETTER LIFE” (Summit Entertainment)
GEORGE CLOONEY / Matt King - "THE DESCENDANTS” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
LEONARDO DiCAPRIO / J. Edgar Hoover - "J. EDGAR" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
JEAN DUJARDIN / George - "THE ARTIST" (The Weinstein Company)
BRAD PITT / Billy Beane - "MONEYBALL" (Columbia Pictures)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
GLENN CLOSE / Albert Nobbs - "ALBERT NOBBS” (Roadside Attractions)
VIOLA DAVIS / Aibileen Clark - “THE HELP” (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
MERYL STREEP / Margaret Thatcher - “THE IRON LADY” (The Weinstein Company)
TILDA SWINTON / Eva - “WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN” (Oscilloscope Laboratories)
MICHELLE WILLIAMS / Marilyn Monroe - “MY WEEK WITH MARILYN” (The Weinstein Company)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
KENNETH BRANAGH / Sir Laurence Olivier - “MY WEEK WITH MARILYN” (The Weinstein Company)
ARMIE HAMMER / Clyde Tolson - "J. EDGAR" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
JONAH HILL / Peter Brand - "MONEYBALL" (Columbia Pictures)
NICK NOLTE / Paddy Conlon - “WARRIOR” (Lionsgate)
CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER / Hal - “BEGINNERS” (Focus Features)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
BÉRÉNICE BEJO / Peppy - "THE ARTIST" (The Weinstein Company)
JESSICA CHASTAIN / Celia Foote - “THE HELP” (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
MELISSA McCARTHY / Megan - “BRIDESMAIDS” (Universal Pictures)
JANET McTEER / Hubert Page - "ALBERT NOBBS” (Roadside Attractions)
OCTAVIA SPENCER / Minny Jackson - “THE HELP” (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
THE ARTIST (The Weinstein Company)
BÉRÉNICE BEJO / Peppy
JAMES CROMWELL / Clifton
JEAN DUJARDIN / George
JOHN GOODMAN / Al Zimmer
PENELOPE ANN MILLER / Doris
BRIDESMAIDS (Universal Pictures)
ROSE BYRNE / Helen
JILL CLAYBURGH / Annie’s Mom
ELLIE KEMPER / Becca
MATT LUCAS / Gil
MELISSA McCARTHY / Megan
WENDI McLENDON-COVEY / Rita
CHRIS O’DOWD / Rhodes
MAYA RUDOLPH / Lillian
KRISTEN WIIG / Annie
THE DESCENDANTS (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
BEAU BRIDGES / Cousin Hugh
GEORGE CLOONEY / Matt King
ROBERT FORSTER / Scott Thorson
JUDY GREER / Julie Speer
MATTHEW LILLARD / Brian Speer
SHAILENE WOODLEY / Alexandra King
THE HELP (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
JESSICA CHASTAIN / Celia Foote
VIOLA DAVIS / Aibileen Clark
BRYCE DALLAS HOWARD / Hilly Holbrook
ALLISON JANNEY / Charlotte Phelan
CHRIS LOWELL / Stuart Whitworth
AHNA O’REILLY / Elizabeth Leefolt
SISSY SPACEK / Missus Walters
OCTAVIA SPENCER / Minny Jackson
MARY STEENBURGEN / Elaine Stein
EMMA STONE / Skeeter Phelan
CICELY TYSON / Constantine Jefferson
MIKE VOGEL / Johnny Foote
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS (Sony Pictures Classics)
KATHY BATES / Gertrude Stein
ADRIEN BRODY / Salvador Dali
CARLA BRUNI / Museum Guide
MARION COTILLARD / Adriana
RACHEL McADAMS / Inez
MICHAEL SHEEN / Paul
OWEN WILSON / Gil
PRIMETIME TELEVISION
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
LAURENCE FISHBURNE / Thurgood Marshall – “THURGOOD” (HBO)
PAUL GIAMATTI / Ben Bernanke – “TOO BIG TO FAIL” (HBO)
GREG KINNEAR / Jack Kennedy – “THE KENNEDYS” (REELZ CHANNEL)
GUY PEARCE / Monty Beragon – “MILDRED PIERCE“ (HBO)
JAMES WOODS / Richard Fuld – “TOO BIG TO FAIL” (HBO)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
DIANE LANE / Pat Loud – “CINEMA VERITE” (HBO)
MAGGIE SMITH / Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham – “DOWNTON ABBEY” (PBS)
EMILY WATSON / Janet Leach – “APPROPRIATE ADULT” (Sundance Channel)
BETTY WHITE / Caroline Thomas – “HALLMARK HALL OF FAME: THE LOST VALENTINE” (CBS)
KATE WINSLET / Mildred Pierce – “MILDRED PIERCE” (HBO)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
PATRICK J. ADAMS / Mike Ross – “SUITS” (USA)
STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thomson – “BOARDWALK EMPIRE” (HBO)
KYLE CHANDLER / Eric Taylor – “FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS” (DirecTV)
BRYAN CRANSTON / Walter White – “BREAKING BAD” (AMC)
MICHAEL C. HALL / Dexter Morgan – “DEXTER” (Showtime)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
KATHY BATES / Harriet Korn – “HARRY’S LAW” (NBC)
GLENN CLOSE / Patty Hewes – “DAMAGES” (DirecTV)
JESSICA LANGE / Constance – “AMERICAN HORROR STORY” (FX)
JULIANNA MARGULIES / Alicia Florrick – “THE GOOD WIFE” (CBS)
KYRA SEDGWICK / Dept. Chief Brenda Leigh Johnson – “THE CLOSER” (TNT)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
ALEC BALDWIN / Jack Donaghy – “30 ROCK” (NBC)
TY BURRELL / Phil Dunphy – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
STEVE CARELL / Michael Scott – “THE OFFICE” (NBC)
JON CRYER / Alan Harper – “TWO AND A HALF MEN” (CBS)
ERIC STONESTREET / Cameron Tucker – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
JULIE BOWEN / Claire Dunphy – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
EDIE FALCO / Jackie Peyton – “NURSE JACKIE” (Showtime)
TINA FEY / Liz Lemon – “30 ROCK” (NBC)
SOFIA VERGARA / Gloria Delgado-Pritchett – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
BETTY WHITE / Elka Ostrovsky – “HOT IN CLEVELAND” (TV Land)
Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
BOARDWALK EMPIRE (HBO)
STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson
DOMINIC CHIANESE / Leander Cephas Whitlock
ROBERT CLOHESSY / Ward Boss Jim Neary
DABNEY COLEMAN / Commodore Louis Kaestner
CHARLIE COX / Owen Sleater
JOSIE & LUCY GALLINA / Emily Schroeder
STEPHEN GRAHAM / Al Capone
JACK HUSTON / Richard Harrow
ANTHONY LACIURA / Eddie Kessler
HEATHER LIND / Katy
KELLY MACDONALD / Margaret Schroeder
RORY & DECLAN McTIGUE / Teddy Schroeder
GRETCHEN MOL / Gillian Darmody
BRADY & CONNOR NOON/ Tommy Darmody
KEVIN O’ROURKE / Mayor Edward Bader
ALEKSA PALLADINO / Angela Darmody
JACQUELINE PENNEWILL / Lilian
VINCENT PIAZZA / Lucky Luciano
MICHAEL PITT / Jimmy Darmody
MICHAEL SHANNON / Agent Nelson Van Alden
PAUL SPARKS / Mickey Doyle
MICHAEL STUHLBARG / Arnold Rothstein
PETER VAN WAGNER / Isaac “Icky” Ginsburg
SHEA WHIGHAM / Sheriff Elias Thompson
MICHAEL KENNETH WILLIAMS / Chalky White
ANATOL YUSEF / Meyer Lansky
BREAKING BAD (AMC)
JONATHAN BANKS / Mike
BETSY BRANDT / Marie Schrader
RAY CAMPBELL / Tyrus Kitt
BRYAN CRANSTON / Walter White
GIANCARLO ESPOSITO / Gus Fring
ANNA GUNN / Skyler White
RJ MITTE / Walter White, Jr.
DEAN NORRIS / Hank Schrader
BOB ODENKIRK / Saul Goodman
AARON PAUL / Jesse Pinkman
DEXTER (Showtime)
BILLY BROWN / Chicago Mike
JENNIFER CARPENTER / Debra Morgan
JOSH COOKE / Louis
AIMEE GARCIA / Jamie Batista
MICHAEL C. HALL / Dexter Morgan
COLIN HANKS / Travis Marshall
DESMOND HARRINGTON / Joey Quinn
MARIA DOYLE KENNEDY / Sonya
RYA KIHLSTEDT / Michelle
C.S. LEE / Vince Masuka
EDWARD JAMES OLMOS / Professor Gellar
JAMES REMAR / Harry Morgan
LAUREN VELEZ / Lt. Maria LaGuerta
PETER WELLER / Liddy
DAVID ZAYAS / Sgt. Angel Batista
GAME OF THRONES (HBO)
AMRITA ACHARIA / Irri
MARK ADDY / King Robert Baratheon
ALFIE ALLEN / Theon Greyjoy
JOSEF ALTIN / Pypar
SEAN BEAN / Lord Eddard “Ned” Stark
SUSAN BROWN / Septa Mordane
EMILIA CLARKE / Daenerys Targaryen
NIKOLAJ COSTER-WALDAU / Ser Jaime Lannister
PETER DINKLAGE / Tyrion Lannister
RON DONACHIE / Ser Rodrik Cassel
MICHELLE FAIRLEY / Lady Catelyn Stark
JEROME FLYNN / Bronn
ELYES GABEL / Rakharo
AIDEN GILLEN / “Littlefinger” Petyr Baelish
JACK GLEESON / Joffrey Baratheon
IAIN GLEN / Ser Jorah Mormont
JULIAN GLOVER / Grand Maester Pycelle
KIT HARINGTON / Jon Snow
LENA HEADEY / Queen Cersei Lannister
ISAAC HEMPSTEAD WRIGHT / Bran Stark
CONLETH HILL / Lord Varys
RICHARD MADDEN / Robb Stark
JASON MAMOA / Kahl Drogo
RORY McCANN / Sandor Clegane
IAN McELHINNEY / Barristan Selmy
LUKE McEWAN / Rast
ROXANNE McKEE / Doreah
DAR SALIM / Qotho
MARK STANLEY / Grenn
DONALD SUMPTER / Maester Luwin
SOPHIE TURNER / Sansa Stark
MAISIE WILLIAMS / Arya Stark
THE GOOD WIFE (CBS)
CHRISTINE BARANSKI / Diane Lockhart
JOSH CHARLES / Will Gardner
ALAN CUMMING / Eli Gold
MATT CZUCHRY / Cary Agos
JULIANNA MARGULIES / Alicia Florrick
CHRIS NOTH / Peter Florrick
ARCHIE PANJABI / Kalinda Sharma
GRAHAM PHILLIPS / Zach Florrick
MAKENZIE VEGA / Grace Florrick
Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
30 ROCK (NBC)
SCOTT ADSIT / Pete Hornberger
ALEC BALDWIN / Jack Donaghy
KATRINA BOWDEN / Cerie
KEVIN BROWN / Dotcom
GRIZZ CHAPMAN / Grizz
TINA FEY / Liz Lemon
JUDAH FRIEDLANDER / Frank Rossitano
JANE KRAKOWSKI / Jenna Maroney
JOHN LUTZ / Lutz
JACK MCBRAYER / Kenneth Parcell
TRACY MORGAN / Tracy Jordan
MAULIK PANCHOLY / Jonathan
KEITH POWELL / Toofer
THE BIG BANG THEORY (CBS)
MAYIM BIALIK / Amy Farrah Fowler
KALEY CUOCO / Penny
JOHNNY GALECKI / Leonard Hofstadter
SIMON HELBERG / Howard Wolowitz
KUNAL NAYYAR / Rajesh Koothrappali
JIM PARSONS / Sheldon Cooper
MELISSA RAUCH / Bernadette Rostenkowski
GLEE (FOX)
DIANNA AGRON / Quinn Fabray
CHRIS COLFER / Kurt Hummel
DARREN CRISS / Blaine Anderson
ASHLEY FINK / Lauren Zizes
DOT MARIE JONES / Coach Beiste
JANE LYNCH / Sue Sylvester
JAYMA MAYS / Emma Pillsbury
KEVIN McHALE / Artie Abrams
LEA MICHELE / Rachel Berry
CORY MONTEITH / Finn Hudson
HEATHER MORRIS / Brittany Pierce
MATTHEW MORRISON / Will Schuester
MIKE O’MALLEY / Burt Hummel
CHORD OVERSTREET / Sam Evans
LAUREN POTTER / Becky Johnson
AMBER RILEY / Mercedes Jones
NAYA RIVERA / Santana Lopez
MARK SALLING / Noah ‘Puck’ Puckerman
HARRY SHUM, JR. / Mike Chang
IQBAL THEBA / Principal Figgins
JENNA USHKOWITZ / Tina Cohen-Chang
MODERN FAMILY (ABC)
AUBREY ANDERSON-EMMONS / Lily
JULIE BOWEN / Claire
TY BURRELL / Phil
JESSE TYLER FERGUSON / Mitchell
NOLAN GOULD / Luke
SARAH HYLAND / Haley
ED O’NEILL / Jay
RICO RODRIGUEZ / Manny
ERIC STONESTREET / Cameron
SOFIA VERGARA / Gloria
ARIEL WINTER / Alex
THE OFFICE (NBC)
LESLIE DAVID BAKER / Stanley Hudson
BRIAN BAUMGARTNER / Kevin Malone
CREED BRATTON / Creed Bratton
STEVE CARELL / Michael Scott
JENNA FISCHER / Pam Beesly Halpert
KATE FLANNERY / Meredith Palmer
ED HELMS / Andy Bernard
MINDY KALING / Kelly Kapoor
ELLIE KEMPER / Erin Hannon
ANGELA KINSEY / Angela Martin
JOHN KRASINSKI / Jim Halpert
PAUL LIEBERSTEIN / Toby Flenderson
B.J. NOVAK / Ryan Howard
OSCAR NUÑEZ / Oscar Martinez
CRAIG ROBINSON / Daryll Philbin
JAMES SPADER / Robert California
PHYLLIS SMITH / Phyllis Lapin-Vance
RAINN WILSON / Dwight Schrute
ZACH WOODS / Gabe Lewis
SAG HONORS FOR STUNT ENSEMBLES
Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
THE ADJUSTMENT BUREAU (UNIVERSAL PICTURES)
COWBOYS & ALIENS (UNIVERSAL PICTURES)
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2 (WARNER BROS. PICTURES)
TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON (PARAMOUNT PICTURES)
X-MEN: FIRST CLASS (20TH CENTURY FOX)
Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Television Series
DEXTER (SHOWTIME)
GAME OF THRONES (HBO)
SOUTHLAND (TNT)
SPARTACUS: GODS OF THE ARENA (STARZ)
TRUE BLOOD (HBO)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
DEMIÁN BICHIR / Carlos Galindo - “A BETTER LIFE” (Summit Entertainment)
GEORGE CLOONEY / Matt King - "THE DESCENDANTS” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
LEONARDO DiCAPRIO / J. Edgar Hoover - "J. EDGAR" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
JEAN DUJARDIN / George - "THE ARTIST" (The Weinstein Company)
BRAD PITT / Billy Beane - "MONEYBALL" (Columbia Pictures)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
GLENN CLOSE / Albert Nobbs - "ALBERT NOBBS” (Roadside Attractions)
VIOLA DAVIS / Aibileen Clark - “THE HELP” (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
MERYL STREEP / Margaret Thatcher - “THE IRON LADY” (The Weinstein Company)
TILDA SWINTON / Eva - “WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN” (Oscilloscope Laboratories)
MICHELLE WILLIAMS / Marilyn Monroe - “MY WEEK WITH MARILYN” (The Weinstein Company)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
KENNETH BRANAGH / Sir Laurence Olivier - “MY WEEK WITH MARILYN” (The Weinstein Company)
ARMIE HAMMER / Clyde Tolson - "J. EDGAR" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
JONAH HILL / Peter Brand - "MONEYBALL" (Columbia Pictures)
NICK NOLTE / Paddy Conlon - “WARRIOR” (Lionsgate)
CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER / Hal - “BEGINNERS” (Focus Features)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
BÉRÉNICE BEJO / Peppy - "THE ARTIST" (The Weinstein Company)
JESSICA CHASTAIN / Celia Foote - “THE HELP” (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
MELISSA McCARTHY / Megan - “BRIDESMAIDS” (Universal Pictures)
JANET McTEER / Hubert Page - "ALBERT NOBBS” (Roadside Attractions)
OCTAVIA SPENCER / Minny Jackson - “THE HELP” (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
THE ARTIST (The Weinstein Company)
BÉRÉNICE BEJO / Peppy
JAMES CROMWELL / Clifton
JEAN DUJARDIN / George
JOHN GOODMAN / Al Zimmer
PENELOPE ANN MILLER / Doris
BRIDESMAIDS (Universal Pictures)
ROSE BYRNE / Helen
JILL CLAYBURGH / Annie’s Mom
ELLIE KEMPER / Becca
MATT LUCAS / Gil
MELISSA McCARTHY / Megan
WENDI McLENDON-COVEY / Rita
CHRIS O’DOWD / Rhodes
MAYA RUDOLPH / Lillian
KRISTEN WIIG / Annie
THE DESCENDANTS (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
BEAU BRIDGES / Cousin Hugh
GEORGE CLOONEY / Matt King
ROBERT FORSTER / Scott Thorson
JUDY GREER / Julie Speer
MATTHEW LILLARD / Brian Speer
SHAILENE WOODLEY / Alexandra King
THE HELP (DreamWorks Pictures / Touchstone Pictures)
JESSICA CHASTAIN / Celia Foote
VIOLA DAVIS / Aibileen Clark
BRYCE DALLAS HOWARD / Hilly Holbrook
ALLISON JANNEY / Charlotte Phelan
CHRIS LOWELL / Stuart Whitworth
AHNA O’REILLY / Elizabeth Leefolt
SISSY SPACEK / Missus Walters
OCTAVIA SPENCER / Minny Jackson
MARY STEENBURGEN / Elaine Stein
EMMA STONE / Skeeter Phelan
CICELY TYSON / Constantine Jefferson
MIKE VOGEL / Johnny Foote
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS (Sony Pictures Classics)
KATHY BATES / Gertrude Stein
ADRIEN BRODY / Salvador Dali
CARLA BRUNI / Museum Guide
MARION COTILLARD / Adriana
RACHEL McADAMS / Inez
MICHAEL SHEEN / Paul
OWEN WILSON / Gil
PRIMETIME TELEVISION
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
LAURENCE FISHBURNE / Thurgood Marshall – “THURGOOD” (HBO)
PAUL GIAMATTI / Ben Bernanke – “TOO BIG TO FAIL” (HBO)
GREG KINNEAR / Jack Kennedy – “THE KENNEDYS” (REELZ CHANNEL)
GUY PEARCE / Monty Beragon – “MILDRED PIERCE“ (HBO)
JAMES WOODS / Richard Fuld – “TOO BIG TO FAIL” (HBO)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries
DIANE LANE / Pat Loud – “CINEMA VERITE” (HBO)
MAGGIE SMITH / Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham – “DOWNTON ABBEY” (PBS)
EMILY WATSON / Janet Leach – “APPROPRIATE ADULT” (Sundance Channel)
BETTY WHITE / Caroline Thomas – “HALLMARK HALL OF FAME: THE LOST VALENTINE” (CBS)
KATE WINSLET / Mildred Pierce – “MILDRED PIERCE” (HBO)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
PATRICK J. ADAMS / Mike Ross – “SUITS” (USA)
STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thomson – “BOARDWALK EMPIRE” (HBO)
KYLE CHANDLER / Eric Taylor – “FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS” (DirecTV)
BRYAN CRANSTON / Walter White – “BREAKING BAD” (AMC)
MICHAEL C. HALL / Dexter Morgan – “DEXTER” (Showtime)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
KATHY BATES / Harriet Korn – “HARRY’S LAW” (NBC)
GLENN CLOSE / Patty Hewes – “DAMAGES” (DirecTV)
JESSICA LANGE / Constance – “AMERICAN HORROR STORY” (FX)
JULIANNA MARGULIES / Alicia Florrick – “THE GOOD WIFE” (CBS)
KYRA SEDGWICK / Dept. Chief Brenda Leigh Johnson – “THE CLOSER” (TNT)
Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series
ALEC BALDWIN / Jack Donaghy – “30 ROCK” (NBC)
TY BURRELL / Phil Dunphy – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
STEVE CARELL / Michael Scott – “THE OFFICE” (NBC)
JON CRYER / Alan Harper – “TWO AND A HALF MEN” (CBS)
ERIC STONESTREET / Cameron Tucker – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
JULIE BOWEN / Claire Dunphy – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
EDIE FALCO / Jackie Peyton – “NURSE JACKIE” (Showtime)
TINA FEY / Liz Lemon – “30 ROCK” (NBC)
SOFIA VERGARA / Gloria Delgado-Pritchett – “MODERN FAMILY” (ABC)
BETTY WHITE / Elka Ostrovsky – “HOT IN CLEVELAND” (TV Land)
Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
BOARDWALK EMPIRE (HBO)
STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson
DOMINIC CHIANESE / Leander Cephas Whitlock
ROBERT CLOHESSY / Ward Boss Jim Neary
DABNEY COLEMAN / Commodore Louis Kaestner
CHARLIE COX / Owen Sleater
JOSIE & LUCY GALLINA / Emily Schroeder
STEPHEN GRAHAM / Al Capone
JACK HUSTON / Richard Harrow
ANTHONY LACIURA / Eddie Kessler
HEATHER LIND / Katy
KELLY MACDONALD / Margaret Schroeder
RORY & DECLAN McTIGUE / Teddy Schroeder
GRETCHEN MOL / Gillian Darmody
BRADY & CONNOR NOON/ Tommy Darmody
KEVIN O’ROURKE / Mayor Edward Bader
ALEKSA PALLADINO / Angela Darmody
JACQUELINE PENNEWILL / Lilian
VINCENT PIAZZA / Lucky Luciano
MICHAEL PITT / Jimmy Darmody
MICHAEL SHANNON / Agent Nelson Van Alden
PAUL SPARKS / Mickey Doyle
MICHAEL STUHLBARG / Arnold Rothstein
PETER VAN WAGNER / Isaac “Icky” Ginsburg
SHEA WHIGHAM / Sheriff Elias Thompson
MICHAEL KENNETH WILLIAMS / Chalky White
ANATOL YUSEF / Meyer Lansky
BREAKING BAD (AMC)
JONATHAN BANKS / Mike
BETSY BRANDT / Marie Schrader
RAY CAMPBELL / Tyrus Kitt
BRYAN CRANSTON / Walter White
GIANCARLO ESPOSITO / Gus Fring
ANNA GUNN / Skyler White
RJ MITTE / Walter White, Jr.
DEAN NORRIS / Hank Schrader
BOB ODENKIRK / Saul Goodman
AARON PAUL / Jesse Pinkman
DEXTER (Showtime)
BILLY BROWN / Chicago Mike
JENNIFER CARPENTER / Debra Morgan
JOSH COOKE / Louis
AIMEE GARCIA / Jamie Batista
MICHAEL C. HALL / Dexter Morgan
COLIN HANKS / Travis Marshall
DESMOND HARRINGTON / Joey Quinn
MARIA DOYLE KENNEDY / Sonya
RYA KIHLSTEDT / Michelle
C.S. LEE / Vince Masuka
EDWARD JAMES OLMOS / Professor Gellar
JAMES REMAR / Harry Morgan
LAUREN VELEZ / Lt. Maria LaGuerta
PETER WELLER / Liddy
DAVID ZAYAS / Sgt. Angel Batista
GAME OF THRONES (HBO)
AMRITA ACHARIA / Irri
MARK ADDY / King Robert Baratheon
ALFIE ALLEN / Theon Greyjoy
JOSEF ALTIN / Pypar
SEAN BEAN / Lord Eddard “Ned” Stark
SUSAN BROWN / Septa Mordane
EMILIA CLARKE / Daenerys Targaryen
NIKOLAJ COSTER-WALDAU / Ser Jaime Lannister
PETER DINKLAGE / Tyrion Lannister
RON DONACHIE / Ser Rodrik Cassel
MICHELLE FAIRLEY / Lady Catelyn Stark
JEROME FLYNN / Bronn
ELYES GABEL / Rakharo
AIDEN GILLEN / “Littlefinger” Petyr Baelish
JACK GLEESON / Joffrey Baratheon
IAIN GLEN / Ser Jorah Mormont
JULIAN GLOVER / Grand Maester Pycelle
KIT HARINGTON / Jon Snow
LENA HEADEY / Queen Cersei Lannister
ISAAC HEMPSTEAD WRIGHT / Bran Stark
CONLETH HILL / Lord Varys
RICHARD MADDEN / Robb Stark
JASON MAMOA / Kahl Drogo
RORY McCANN / Sandor Clegane
IAN McELHINNEY / Barristan Selmy
LUKE McEWAN / Rast
ROXANNE McKEE / Doreah
DAR SALIM / Qotho
MARK STANLEY / Grenn
DONALD SUMPTER / Maester Luwin
SOPHIE TURNER / Sansa Stark
MAISIE WILLIAMS / Arya Stark
THE GOOD WIFE (CBS)
CHRISTINE BARANSKI / Diane Lockhart
JOSH CHARLES / Will Gardner
ALAN CUMMING / Eli Gold
MATT CZUCHRY / Cary Agos
JULIANNA MARGULIES / Alicia Florrick
CHRIS NOTH / Peter Florrick
ARCHIE PANJABI / Kalinda Sharma
GRAHAM PHILLIPS / Zach Florrick
MAKENZIE VEGA / Grace Florrick
Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series
30 ROCK (NBC)
SCOTT ADSIT / Pete Hornberger
ALEC BALDWIN / Jack Donaghy
KATRINA BOWDEN / Cerie
KEVIN BROWN / Dotcom
GRIZZ CHAPMAN / Grizz
TINA FEY / Liz Lemon
JUDAH FRIEDLANDER / Frank Rossitano
JANE KRAKOWSKI / Jenna Maroney
JOHN LUTZ / Lutz
JACK MCBRAYER / Kenneth Parcell
TRACY MORGAN / Tracy Jordan
MAULIK PANCHOLY / Jonathan
KEITH POWELL / Toofer
THE BIG BANG THEORY (CBS)
MAYIM BIALIK / Amy Farrah Fowler
KALEY CUOCO / Penny
JOHNNY GALECKI / Leonard Hofstadter
SIMON HELBERG / Howard Wolowitz
KUNAL NAYYAR / Rajesh Koothrappali
JIM PARSONS / Sheldon Cooper
MELISSA RAUCH / Bernadette Rostenkowski
GLEE (FOX)
DIANNA AGRON / Quinn Fabray
CHRIS COLFER / Kurt Hummel
DARREN CRISS / Blaine Anderson
ASHLEY FINK / Lauren Zizes
DOT MARIE JONES / Coach Beiste
JANE LYNCH / Sue Sylvester
JAYMA MAYS / Emma Pillsbury
KEVIN McHALE / Artie Abrams
LEA MICHELE / Rachel Berry
CORY MONTEITH / Finn Hudson
HEATHER MORRIS / Brittany Pierce
MATTHEW MORRISON / Will Schuester
MIKE O’MALLEY / Burt Hummel
CHORD OVERSTREET / Sam Evans
LAUREN POTTER / Becky Johnson
AMBER RILEY / Mercedes Jones
NAYA RIVERA / Santana Lopez
MARK SALLING / Noah ‘Puck’ Puckerman
HARRY SHUM, JR. / Mike Chang
IQBAL THEBA / Principal Figgins
JENNA USHKOWITZ / Tina Cohen-Chang
MODERN FAMILY (ABC)
AUBREY ANDERSON-EMMONS / Lily
JULIE BOWEN / Claire
TY BURRELL / Phil
JESSE TYLER FERGUSON / Mitchell
NOLAN GOULD / Luke
SARAH HYLAND / Haley
ED O’NEILL / Jay
RICO RODRIGUEZ / Manny
ERIC STONESTREET / Cameron
SOFIA VERGARA / Gloria
ARIEL WINTER / Alex
THE OFFICE (NBC)
LESLIE DAVID BAKER / Stanley Hudson
BRIAN BAUMGARTNER / Kevin Malone
CREED BRATTON / Creed Bratton
STEVE CARELL / Michael Scott
JENNA FISCHER / Pam Beesly Halpert
KATE FLANNERY / Meredith Palmer
ED HELMS / Andy Bernard
MINDY KALING / Kelly Kapoor
ELLIE KEMPER / Erin Hannon
ANGELA KINSEY / Angela Martin
JOHN KRASINSKI / Jim Halpert
PAUL LIEBERSTEIN / Toby Flenderson
B.J. NOVAK / Ryan Howard
OSCAR NUÑEZ / Oscar Martinez
CRAIG ROBINSON / Daryll Philbin
JAMES SPADER / Robert California
PHYLLIS SMITH / Phyllis Lapin-Vance
RAINN WILSON / Dwight Schrute
ZACH WOODS / Gabe Lewis
SAG HONORS FOR STUNT ENSEMBLES
Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture
THE ADJUSTMENT BUREAU (UNIVERSAL PICTURES)
COWBOYS & ALIENS (UNIVERSAL PICTURES)
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2 (WARNER BROS. PICTURES)
TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON (PARAMOUNT PICTURES)
X-MEN: FIRST CLASS (20TH CENTURY FOX)
Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Television Series
DEXTER (SHOWTIME)
GAME OF THRONES (HBO)
SOUTHLAND (TNT)
SPARTACUS: GODS OF THE ARENA (STARZ)
TRUE BLOOD (HBO)
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
SAG Predix
Announced tomorrow morning by Regina King and Judy Greer.
It really isn't pleasing me that these are announced before the Globes. I've always liked that SAGs more grounded nominees provide a clearer picture after the Globes' seemingly drunken selection. Maybe it'll be more fun this way, but I doubt it. It was always pretty easy guessing who SAG was nominating that would go onto the Oscar nom after the Globes overlooked them.
2008 - Melissa Leo & Richard Jenkins
2009 - Jeremy Renner
Though last year, Jacki Weaver and Michelle Williams got Globe nods but no SAG and still made the Oscar list. And getting both a Globe and SAG nod does not equal Oscar nom (hi, Mila Kunis!).
So here goes:
ENSEMBLE:
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Midnight in Paris
Alt: Bridesmaids
I'd say there's actually only about 8 or 9 films that could show up here. Bridesmaids has won a few critics group ensemble awards and has been nominated by just about every critics group, so it could easily make the lineup. I'm wondering just how late EL&IC screened as that could hurt it. Hugo is another film with a legit shot, but it might not be seen as an actor's film. All that aside, The Help is winning this in a cakewalk. SAG WINNER EMMA STONE. Learn it. Live it. Love it. The boring surprise could be Ides of March. God, that would be dull.
No Guts, No Glory: Rather than saying something random will show up, my choice here is that The Descendants will NOT be nominated. Clooney's last 2 films both received three acting noms, but missed ensemble. 2nd No Guts: Drive.
MALE ACTOR - LEADING:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Leondardo Dicaprio - J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin - The Artist
Michael Fassbender - Shame
Brad Pitt - Moneyball
Alt: Gary Oldman - Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
I'm going the route that Leo will be this year's Cate Blanchett in The Golden Age (failed Oscarbait that still results in a nomination that everyone hates). Actually, a better comparision would be Ziyi Zhang in Memoirs of a Geisha. She showed up everywhere for a performance that was unspectacular but ultimately (and rightfully) missed the Oscar nom. That seems likely. Let's hope that's the case.
No Guts, No Glory: Thomas Horn - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close. SAG loves it child actors.
FEMALE ACTOR - LEADING:
Viola Davis - The Help
Elizabeth Olsen - Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Charlize Theron - Young Adult
Michelle Williams - My Week with Marilyn
Alt: Tilda Swinton - We Need To Talk About Kevin
The general consensus seems to be that Glenn Close in Albert Nobbs is DOA. She has showed up just one place (the Golden Satellites) though SAG and HFPA could easily revive her chances. Davis, Streep and Williams are the only sure bets. I gave Theron and Olsen the edge over Swinton because I get the feeling their movies have been seen more.
No Guts, No Glory: A Kristen. Dunst or Wiig.
MALE ACTOR - SUPPORTING:
Kenneth Branagh - My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks - Drive
Patton Oswalt - Young Adult
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Max Von Sydow - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Alt: Ben Kingsley - Hugo
With Nick Nolte and Corey Stoll as outside shots.
No Guts, No Glory: Brad Pitt - Tree of Life
FEMALE ACTOR - SUPPORTING:
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shailene Woodley - The Descendants
Alt: Berenice Bejo - The Artist
So can Chastain possibly score multiple noms here? And did enough people see her movie to get Redgrave in?
No Guts, No Glory: Bryce Dallas Howard - The Help.
As for TV, go Parks and Recreation and Community. SAG's TV categories are shitty shit shit.
Broadcast Film Critics Awards Nominees!
NOMINATIONS FOR THE 17th ANNUAL CRITICS’ CHOICE MOVIE AWARDS
BEST PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
Drive
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney – “The Descendants”
Leonardo DiCaprio – “J. Edgar”
Jean Dujardin – “The Artist”
Michael Fassbender – “Shame”
Ryan Gosling – “Drive”
Brad Pitt – “Moneyball”
BEST ACTRESS
Viola Davis – “The Help”
Elizabeth Olsen – “Martha Marcy May Marlene”
Meryl Streep – “The Iron Lady”
Tilda Swinton – “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Charlize Theron – “Young Adult”
Michelle Williams – “My Week With Marilyn”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh – “My Week With Marilyn”
Albert Brooks – “Drive”
Nick Nolte – “Warrior”
Patton Oswalt – “Young Adult”
Christopher Plummer – “Beginners”
Andrew Serkis – “Rise of the Planet of the Apes”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Berenice Bejo – “The Artist”
Jessica Chastain – “The Help”
Melissa McCarthy – “Bridesmaids”
Carey Mulligan – “Shame”
Octavia Spencer – “The Help”
Shailene Woodley – “The Descendants”
BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS
Asa Butterfield – “Hugo”
Elle Fanning – “Super 8”
Thomas Horn – “Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”
Ezra Miller – “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Saoirse Ronan – “Hanna”
Shailene Woodley – “The Descendants”
BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE
The Artist
Bridesmaids
The Descendants
The Help
The Ides of March
BEST DIRECTOR
Stephen Daldry – “Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”
Michel Hazanavicius – “The Artist”
Alexander Payne – “The Descendants”
Nicolas Winding Refn – “Drive”
Martin Scorsese – “Hugo”
Steven Spielberg – “War Horse”
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius
“50/50” – Will Reiser
“Midnight in Paris” – Woody Allen
“Win Win” – Screenplay by Tom McCarthy, Story by Tom McCarthy & Joe Tiboni
“Young Adult” – Diablo Cody
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“The Descendants” – Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
“Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close” – Eric Roth
“The Help” – Tate Taylor
“Hugo” – John Logan
“Moneyball” – Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin, Story by Stan Chervin
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“The Artist” – Guillaume Schiffman
“Drive” – Newton Thomas Sigel
“Hugo” – Robert Richardson
“The Tree of Life” – Emmanuel Lubezki
“War Horse” – Janusz Kaminski
BEST ART DIRECTION
“The Artist” – Production Designer: Laurence Bennett, Art Director: Gregory S. Hooper
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2” – Production Designer: Stuart Craig, Set Decorator: Stephenie McMillan
“Hugo” – Production Designer: Dante Ferretti, Set Decorator: Francesca Lo Schiavo
“The Tree of Life” – Production Designer: Jack Fisk, Art Director: David Crank
“War Horse” – Production Designer: Rick Carter, Set Decorator: Lee Sandales
BEST EDITING
“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius and Anne-Sophie Bion
“Drive” – Matthew Newman
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
“Hugo” – Thelma Schoonmaker
“War Horse” – Michael Kahn
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
“The Artist” – Mark Bridges
“The Help” – Sharen Davis
“Hugo” – Sandy Powell
“Jane Eyre” – Michael O’Connor
“My Week With Marilyn” – Jill Taylor
BEST MAKEUP
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar
My Week With Marilyn
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
The Tree of Life
BEST SOUND
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Super 8
The Tree of Life
War Horse
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
BEST ACTION MOVIE
Drive
Fast Five
Hanna
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
BEST COMEDY
Bridesmaids
Crazy, Stupid, Love
Horrible Bosses
Midnight in Paris
The Muppets
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
In Darkness
Le Havre
A Separation
The Skin I Live In
Where Do We Go Now
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Buck
Cave of Forgotten Dreams
George Harrison: Living in the Material World
Page One: Inside the New York Times
Project Nim
Undefeated
BEST SONG
“Hello Hello” – performed by Elton John and Lady Gaga/written by Elton John and Bernie Taupin – Gnomeo & Juliet
“Life’s a Happy Song” – performed by Jason Segel, Amy Adams and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“The Living Proof” – performed by Mary J. Blige/written by Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman and Harvey Mason, Jr. – The Help
“Man or Muppet” – performed by Jason Segel and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“Pictures in My Head” – performed by Kermit and the Muppets/written by Jeannie Lurie, Aris Archontis and Chen Neeman – The Muppets
BEST SCORE
“The Artist” – Ludovic Bource
“Drive” – Cliff Martinez
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
“Hugo” – Howard Shore
“War Horse” – John Williams
BEST PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
Drive
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
BEST ACTOR
George Clooney – “The Descendants”
Leonardo DiCaprio – “J. Edgar”
Jean Dujardin – “The Artist”
Michael Fassbender – “Shame”
Ryan Gosling – “Drive”
Brad Pitt – “Moneyball”
BEST ACTRESS
Viola Davis – “The Help”
Elizabeth Olsen – “Martha Marcy May Marlene”
Meryl Streep – “The Iron Lady”
Tilda Swinton – “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Charlize Theron – “Young Adult”
Michelle Williams – “My Week With Marilyn”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kenneth Branagh – “My Week With Marilyn”
Albert Brooks – “Drive”
Nick Nolte – “Warrior”
Patton Oswalt – “Young Adult”
Christopher Plummer – “Beginners”
Andrew Serkis – “Rise of the Planet of the Apes”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Berenice Bejo – “The Artist”
Jessica Chastain – “The Help”
Melissa McCarthy – “Bridesmaids”
Carey Mulligan – “Shame”
Octavia Spencer – “The Help”
Shailene Woodley – “The Descendants”
BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS
Asa Butterfield – “Hugo”
Elle Fanning – “Super 8”
Thomas Horn – “Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”
Ezra Miller – “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Saoirse Ronan – “Hanna”
Shailene Woodley – “The Descendants”
BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE
The Artist
Bridesmaids
The Descendants
The Help
The Ides of March
BEST DIRECTOR
Stephen Daldry – “Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”
Michel Hazanavicius – “The Artist”
Alexander Payne – “The Descendants”
Nicolas Winding Refn – “Drive”
Martin Scorsese – “Hugo”
Steven Spielberg – “War Horse”
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius
“50/50” – Will Reiser
“Midnight in Paris” – Woody Allen
“Win Win” – Screenplay by Tom McCarthy, Story by Tom McCarthy & Joe Tiboni
“Young Adult” – Diablo Cody
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“The Descendants” – Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
“Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close” – Eric Roth
“The Help” – Tate Taylor
“Hugo” – John Logan
“Moneyball” – Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin, Story by Stan Chervin
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“The Artist” – Guillaume Schiffman
“Drive” – Newton Thomas Sigel
“Hugo” – Robert Richardson
“The Tree of Life” – Emmanuel Lubezki
“War Horse” – Janusz Kaminski
BEST ART DIRECTION
“The Artist” – Production Designer: Laurence Bennett, Art Director: Gregory S. Hooper
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2” – Production Designer: Stuart Craig, Set Decorator: Stephenie McMillan
“Hugo” – Production Designer: Dante Ferretti, Set Decorator: Francesca Lo Schiavo
“The Tree of Life” – Production Designer: Jack Fisk, Art Director: David Crank
“War Horse” – Production Designer: Rick Carter, Set Decorator: Lee Sandales
BEST EDITING
“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius and Anne-Sophie Bion
“Drive” – Matthew Newman
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
“Hugo” – Thelma Schoonmaker
“War Horse” – Michael Kahn
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
“The Artist” – Mark Bridges
“The Help” – Sharen Davis
“Hugo” – Sandy Powell
“Jane Eyre” – Michael O’Connor
“My Week With Marilyn” – Jill Taylor
BEST MAKEUP
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar
My Week With Marilyn
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
The Tree of Life
BEST SOUND
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Super 8
The Tree of Life
War Horse
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Adventures of Tintin
Arthur Christmas
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
BEST ACTION MOVIE
Drive
Fast Five
Hanna
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
BEST COMEDY
Bridesmaids
Crazy, Stupid, Love
Horrible Bosses
Midnight in Paris
The Muppets
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
In Darkness
Le Havre
A Separation
The Skin I Live In
Where Do We Go Now
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Buck
Cave of Forgotten Dreams
George Harrison: Living in the Material World
Page One: Inside the New York Times
Project Nim
Undefeated
BEST SONG
“Hello Hello” – performed by Elton John and Lady Gaga/written by Elton John and Bernie Taupin – Gnomeo & Juliet
“Life’s a Happy Song” – performed by Jason Segel, Amy Adams and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“The Living Proof” – performed by Mary J. Blige/written by Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman and Harvey Mason, Jr. – The Help
“Man or Muppet” – performed by Jason Segel and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“Pictures in My Head” – performed by Kermit and the Muppets/written by Jeannie Lurie, Aris Archontis and Chen Neeman – The Muppets
BEST SCORE
“The Artist” – Ludovic Bource
“Drive” – Cliff Martinez
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
“Hugo” – Howard Shore
“War Horse” – John Williams
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Pre-Majors Oscar Dix
Busy week.
We've got BFCA on Tuesday.
SAG noms on Wednesday.
Golden Globe noms on Thursday.
By the end of Thursday morning, we'll more or less know most of the acting nominees. I doubt BAFTA (announcing in early January) will throw any curveballs, but one never knows. I say most because it seems in every category we have 3 locks, followed by a handful of people vying for the last 2 slots. I suspect Chastain is in for The Help, but it would be fun if each org chose her for a different film. And by fun I mean frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that for the past four years, someone has gotten an acting Oscar nomination with little to no precursor support.
2007 - Jones (Elah) and Linney (Savages)
2008 - Shannon (Revolutionary)
2009 - Gyllenhaal (Crazy)
2010 - Bardem (Biutiful)
I might do another set after most of the guilds, but most likely this will be the only set of Oscar predictions I do until the day before nominations are announced.
SAG and Globe predix the night before their respective noms are announced.
Last year, my early December dix were pretty good. Here they are. Picture - 9/10. Actor, Actress, Supp Actor, both screenplays - 4/5. Supporting Actress - 5/5. Directing - 3/5. I don't think I'll be anywhere near as close this year.
OSCAR PREDICTIONS:
PICTURE:
THE ARTIST
THE DESCENDANTS
EXTREMELY LOUD AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE
HUGO
WAR HORSE
6. Midnight in Paris
7. The Help
8. Moneyball
9. The Tree of Life
10. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
I'll predict 7 nominations!
DIRECTING:
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne - The Descendants
Stephen Daldry - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Martin Scorsese - Hugo
Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
ACTOR:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Jean Dujardin - The Artist
Michael Fassbender - Shame
Gary Oldman - Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt - Moneyball
ACTRESS:
Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis - The Help
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Charlize Theron - Young Adult
Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Albert Brooks - Drive
Ben Kingsley - Hugo
Patton Oswalt - Young Adult
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Max Von Sydow - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Berenice Bejo - The Artist
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shaileene Woodley - The Descendants
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
50/50
A SEPARATION
THE ARTIST
MARGIN CALL
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
THE DESCENDANTS
EXTREMELY LOUD AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE
HUGO
MONEYBALL
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY
We've got BFCA on Tuesday.
SAG noms on Wednesday.
Golden Globe noms on Thursday.
By the end of Thursday morning, we'll more or less know most of the acting nominees. I doubt BAFTA (announcing in early January) will throw any curveballs, but one never knows. I say most because it seems in every category we have 3 locks, followed by a handful of people vying for the last 2 slots. I suspect Chastain is in for The Help, but it would be fun if each org chose her for a different film. And by fun I mean frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that for the past four years, someone has gotten an acting Oscar nomination with little to no precursor support.
2007 - Jones (Elah) and Linney (Savages)
2008 - Shannon (Revolutionary)
2009 - Gyllenhaal (Crazy)
2010 - Bardem (Biutiful)
I might do another set after most of the guilds, but most likely this will be the only set of Oscar predictions I do until the day before nominations are announced.
SAG and Globe predix the night before their respective noms are announced.
Last year, my early December dix were pretty good. Here they are. Picture - 9/10. Actor, Actress, Supp Actor, both screenplays - 4/5. Supporting Actress - 5/5. Directing - 3/5. I don't think I'll be anywhere near as close this year.
OSCAR PREDICTIONS:
PICTURE:
THE ARTIST
THE DESCENDANTS
EXTREMELY LOUD AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE
HUGO
WAR HORSE
6. Midnight in Paris
7. The Help
8. Moneyball
9. The Tree of Life
10. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
I'll predict 7 nominations!
DIRECTING:
Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist
Alexander Payne - The Descendants
Stephen Daldry - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Martin Scorsese - Hugo
Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
ACTOR:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Jean Dujardin - The Artist
Michael Fassbender - Shame
Gary Oldman - Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt - Moneyball
ACTRESS:
Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis - The Help
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Charlize Theron - Young Adult
Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Albert Brooks - Drive
Ben Kingsley - Hugo
Patton Oswalt - Young Adult
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Max Von Sydow - Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Berenice Bejo - The Artist
Jessica Chastain - The Help
Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Shaileene Woodley - The Descendants
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
50/50
A SEPARATION
THE ARTIST
MARGIN CALL
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
THE DESCENDANTS
EXTREMELY LOUD AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE
HUGO
MONEYBALL
TINKER TAILOR SOLDIER SPY
CRITICS & AFI WINNERS ROUND-UP
Winners for a very busy Sunday: Brad Pitt, Albert Brooks, Melissa McCarthy, Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life, The Artist, Hugo and The Descendants.
AMERICAN FILM INSTITUTE TOP 10 FILMS OF 2011:
BRIDESMAIDS
THE DESCENDANTS
THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
THE HELP
HUGO
J. EDGAR
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
MONEYBALL
THE TREE OF LIFE
WAR HORSE
BOSTON SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS
PICTURE: THE ARTIST
DIRECTOR: Martin Scorsese - Hugo
ACTOR: Brad Pitt - Moneyball
ACTRESS: Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
SUPP. ACTOR: Albert Brooks - Drive
SUPP. ACTRESS: Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
ENSEMBLE CAST: Carnage
SCREENPLAY: Moneyball
USE OF MUSIC: Drive & The Artist
EDITING: The Clock
CINEMATOGRAPHY: THE TREE OF LIFE
BEST NEW FILMMAKER: Sean Durkin - Martha Marcy May Marlene
DOCUMENTARY: Project Nim
FOREIGN FILM: Incendies
NEW YORK FILM CRITICS ONLINE:
BEST PICTURE: THE ARTIST
BEST DIRECTOR: MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS - The Artist
BEST ACTOR: MICHAEL SHANNON - Take Shelter (runners-up: MICHAEL FASSBENDER - Shame and GARY OLDMAN - Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
BEST ACTRESS: MERYL STREEP - The Iron Lady
BEST ENSEMBLE CAST: BRIDESMAIDS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: ALBERT BROOKS - Drive
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: MELISSA MCCARTHY – Bridesmaids
BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMER: JESSICA CHASTAIN – The Tree of Life, The Help, The Debt, Take Shelter, Texas Killing Fields, Coriolanus
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: EMMANUEL LUBEZKI - The Tree of Life
BEST SCREENPLAY: ALEXANDER PAYNE, NAT FAXON, JIM RASH - The Descedants
BEST USE OF MUSIC: LUDOVIC BOURCE for The Artist
BEST DEBUT DIRECTOR: JOE CORNISH for Attack the Block
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: A SEPARATION
BEST DOCUMENTARY: CAVE OF FORGOTTEN DREAMS
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN
LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS AWARDS:
(website here, featuring runner-ups)
BEST PICTURE: The Descendants
BEST DIRECTOR: Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
BEST ACTOR: Michael Fassbender - A Dangerous Method, Jane Eyre, Shame and X-Men: First Class
BEST ACTRESS: Yun Jung Hee - Poetry
BEST SUPP. ACTOR: Christopher Plummer - Beginners
BEST SUPP. ACTRESS: Jessica Chastain - Corialanus, The Debt, The Help, Take Shelter, Texas Killing Fields and The Tree of Life
BEST SCREENPLAY: A Separation
BEST MUSIC/SCORE: Hanna
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Hugo
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Tree of Life
BEST DOCUMENTARY: Cave of Forgotten Dreams
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Rango
SAN FRANCISCO CRITICS CIRCLE AWARDS:
Best Picture: “The Tree of Life”
Best Director: Terrence Malick - “The Tree of Life”
Best Original Screenplay: J.C. Chandor - “Margin Call”
Best Adapted Screenplay: Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan - “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”
Best Actor: Gary Oldman - “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”
Best Actress: Tilda Swinton - “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Best Supporting Actor: Albert Brooks - “Drive”
Best Supporting Actress: Vanessa Redgrave - “Coriolanus”
Best Animated Feature: “Rango”
Best Foreign Language Film: “Certified Copy”
Best Documentary: “Tabloid”
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki - “The Tree of Life”
Marlon Riggs Award for courage & vision in the Bay Area film community
National Film Preservation Foundation, in recognition of for its work in the preservation and dissemination of endangered, culturally significant films
Special Citation for underappreciated independent cinema
“The Mill and the Cross”
AMERICAN FILM INSTITUTE TOP 10 FILMS OF 2011:
BRIDESMAIDS
THE DESCENDANTS
THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
THE HELP
HUGO
J. EDGAR
MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
MONEYBALL
THE TREE OF LIFE
WAR HORSE
BOSTON SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS
PICTURE: THE ARTIST
DIRECTOR: Martin Scorsese - Hugo
ACTOR: Brad Pitt - Moneyball
ACTRESS: Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
SUPP. ACTOR: Albert Brooks - Drive
SUPP. ACTRESS: Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
ENSEMBLE CAST: Carnage
SCREENPLAY: Moneyball
USE OF MUSIC: Drive & The Artist
EDITING: The Clock
CINEMATOGRAPHY: THE TREE OF LIFE
BEST NEW FILMMAKER: Sean Durkin - Martha Marcy May Marlene
DOCUMENTARY: Project Nim
FOREIGN FILM: Incendies
NEW YORK FILM CRITICS ONLINE:
BEST PICTURE: THE ARTIST
BEST DIRECTOR: MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS - The Artist
BEST ACTOR: MICHAEL SHANNON - Take Shelter (runners-up: MICHAEL FASSBENDER - Shame and GARY OLDMAN - Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
BEST ACTRESS: MERYL STREEP - The Iron Lady
BEST ENSEMBLE CAST: BRIDESMAIDS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: ALBERT BROOKS - Drive
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: MELISSA MCCARTHY – Bridesmaids
BREAKTHROUGH PERFORMER: JESSICA CHASTAIN – The Tree of Life, The Help, The Debt, Take Shelter, Texas Killing Fields, Coriolanus
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: EMMANUEL LUBEZKI - The Tree of Life
BEST SCREENPLAY: ALEXANDER PAYNE, NAT FAXON, JIM RASH - The Descedants
BEST USE OF MUSIC: LUDOVIC BOURCE for The Artist
BEST DEBUT DIRECTOR: JOE CORNISH for Attack the Block
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: A SEPARATION
BEST DOCUMENTARY: CAVE OF FORGOTTEN DREAMS
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN
LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS AWARDS:
(website here, featuring runner-ups)
BEST PICTURE: The Descendants
BEST DIRECTOR: Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
BEST ACTOR: Michael Fassbender - A Dangerous Method, Jane Eyre, Shame and X-Men: First Class
BEST ACTRESS: Yun Jung Hee - Poetry
BEST SUPP. ACTOR: Christopher Plummer - Beginners
BEST SUPP. ACTRESS: Jessica Chastain - Corialanus, The Debt, The Help, Take Shelter, Texas Killing Fields and The Tree of Life
BEST SCREENPLAY: A Separation
BEST MUSIC/SCORE: Hanna
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Hugo
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Tree of Life
BEST DOCUMENTARY: Cave of Forgotten Dreams
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Rango
SAN FRANCISCO CRITICS CIRCLE AWARDS:
Best Picture: “The Tree of Life”
Best Director: Terrence Malick - “The Tree of Life”
Best Original Screenplay: J.C. Chandor - “Margin Call”
Best Adapted Screenplay: Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan - “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”
Best Actor: Gary Oldman - “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy”
Best Actress: Tilda Swinton - “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Best Supporting Actor: Albert Brooks - “Drive”
Best Supporting Actress: Vanessa Redgrave - “Coriolanus”
Best Animated Feature: “Rango”
Best Foreign Language Film: “Certified Copy”
Best Documentary: “Tabloid”
Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki - “The Tree of Life”
Marlon Riggs Award for courage & vision in the Bay Area film community
National Film Preservation Foundation, in recognition of for its work in the preservation and dissemination of endangered, culturally significant films
Special Citation for underappreciated independent cinema
“The Mill and the Cross”
Wednesday, December 7, 2011
Box: Adventures in Box-Officing
1. New Year's Eve - $22m / $22m / $80m
2. The Sitter - $12m / $12m / $37m
3. Breaking Dawn - $8.5m / $260m / $282m
4. The Muppets - $8m / $67m / $100m
5. Arthur Christmas - $5.5m / $32m / $50m
6. Hugo - $5m / $32.5m / $75m
7. The Descendants - $4.5m / $23.5m / $85m
8. Happy Feet 2 - $4m / $57m / $68m
9. Jack and Jill - $3m / $68.5m / $76m
10. Tower Heist - $2.5m / $74m / $80m
Tracking and other sites have NYE doing much more, but I just feel that the sour taste Valentine's Day left in audiences mouths and those awful reviews will give this a much softer opening. I wonder how well the film will do on December 31st.... I also wonder how many more holidays we can exploit with massive casts and cookie cutter storylines. This is like some kind of bizarro revival of the holiday horror movies of the 80's. Speaking of 80's revivals, Jonah Hill's semi-remake of the Elisabeth Shue film looks fun, but probably won't have registers ringing. The Descendants will be in just under a thousand theatres as Fox is probably looking to add some theatres next weekend after Golden Globe nods. I've now accepted the film is probably not crossing the century mark, but based on award season's path I'm thinking Hugo will probably do more than I originally expected.
2. The Sitter - $12m / $12m / $37m
3. Breaking Dawn - $8.5m / $260m / $282m
4. The Muppets - $8m / $67m / $100m
5. Arthur Christmas - $5.5m / $32m / $50m
6. Hugo - $5m / $32.5m / $75m
7. The Descendants - $4.5m / $23.5m / $85m
8. Happy Feet 2 - $4m / $57m / $68m
9. Jack and Jill - $3m / $68.5m / $76m
10. Tower Heist - $2.5m / $74m / $80m
Tracking and other sites have NYE doing much more, but I just feel that the sour taste Valentine's Day left in audiences mouths and those awful reviews will give this a much softer opening. I wonder how well the film will do on December 31st.... I also wonder how many more holidays we can exploit with massive casts and cookie cutter storylines. This is like some kind of bizarro revival of the holiday horror movies of the 80's. Speaking of 80's revivals, Jonah Hill's semi-remake of the Elisabeth Shue film looks fun, but probably won't have registers ringing. The Descendants will be in just under a thousand theatres as Fox is probably looking to add some theatres next weekend after Golden Globe nods. I've now accepted the film is probably not crossing the century mark, but based on award season's path I'm thinking Hugo will probably do more than I originally expected.
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Thursday, December 1, 2011
NATIONAL BOARD OF REVIEW WINNERS
Usually the first out of the gate, perhaps letting them go second has allowed them to make some pretty inspired picks. They, as usual, love Eastwood. So maybe not.
Best Film: HUGO
Best Director: MARTIN SCORSESE - HUGO
Best Actor: GEORGE CLOONEY - THE DESCENDANTS
Best Actress: TILDA SWINTON - WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN
Best Supporting Actor: CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER - BEGINNERS
Best Supporting Actress: SHAILENE WOODLEY - THE DESCENDANTS
Best Original Screenplay: 50/50 - WILL REISER
Best Adapted Screenplay: THE DESCENDANTS - Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash
Best Ensemble: THE HELP
Best Animated Feature: RANGO
Breakthrough Performance: (tie) Felicity Jones - Like Crazy / Rooney Mara - The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Debut Director: J.C. Chandor - Margin Call
Spotlight Award: Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method, Jane Eyre, Shame, X-Men: First Class)
NBR Freedom of Expression: (tie) Crime After Crime AND Pariah
Best Foreign Language Film: A Separation
Best Documentary: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Special Achievement in Filmmaking: The Harry Potter Franchise
Top 10 Films (alphabetical)
THE ARTIST
THE DESCENDANTS
DRIVE
THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2
HUGO
THE IDES OF MARCH
J. EDGAR
TREE OF LIFE
WAR HORSE
Top 5 Foreign Language Films
13 ASSASSINS
ELITE SQUAD: THE ENEMY WITHIN
FOOTNOTE
LE HAVRE
POINT BLANK
Top 5 Documentaries
BORN TO BE WILD
BUCK
GEORGE HARRISON: LIVING IN THE MATERIAL WORLD
PROJECT NIM
SENNA
Top 10 Independent Films:
50/50
ANOTHER EARTH
BEGINNERS
A BETTER LIFE
CEDAR RAPIDS
MARGIN CALL
SHAME
TAKE SHELTER
WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN
WIN WIN
Best Film: HUGO
Best Director: MARTIN SCORSESE - HUGO
Best Actor: GEORGE CLOONEY - THE DESCENDANTS
Best Actress: TILDA SWINTON - WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN
Best Supporting Actor: CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER - BEGINNERS
Best Supporting Actress: SHAILENE WOODLEY - THE DESCENDANTS
Best Original Screenplay: 50/50 - WILL REISER
Best Adapted Screenplay: THE DESCENDANTS - Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash
Best Ensemble: THE HELP
Best Animated Feature: RANGO
Breakthrough Performance: (tie) Felicity Jones - Like Crazy / Rooney Mara - The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Debut Director: J.C. Chandor - Margin Call
Spotlight Award: Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method, Jane Eyre, Shame, X-Men: First Class)
NBR Freedom of Expression: (tie) Crime After Crime AND Pariah
Best Foreign Language Film: A Separation
Best Documentary: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Special Achievement in Filmmaking: The Harry Potter Franchise
Top 10 Films (alphabetical)
THE ARTIST
THE DESCENDANTS
DRIVE
THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2
HUGO
THE IDES OF MARCH
J. EDGAR
TREE OF LIFE
WAR HORSE
Top 5 Foreign Language Films
13 ASSASSINS
ELITE SQUAD: THE ENEMY WITHIN
FOOTNOTE
LE HAVRE
POINT BLANK
Top 5 Documentaries
BORN TO BE WILD
BUCK
GEORGE HARRISON: LIVING IN THE MATERIAL WORLD
PROJECT NIM
SENNA
Top 10 Independent Films:
50/50
ANOTHER EARTH
BEGINNERS
A BETTER LIFE
CEDAR RAPIDS
MARGIN CALL
SHAME
TAKE SHELTER
WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT KEVIN
WIN WIN
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